Dec 082013
 
Maybe a bottom for the Canadian dollar at $0.9400
Three year weekly chart for the Canadian dollar showing major support at $0.9400.

Canadian dollar weekly chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The major trend is down, the intermediate trend is down and the near-term trend is down for the Canadian dollar. It is trading below the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages. But in all this negativity, there is a glimmer of hope—depends on your perspective—that the bottom is $0.9400. This was a support point back in October, 2011 and the hammer is an indication of a bottom. But never trade the bottom: you know the adage about never trying to catch a falling knife.

Reference the last analysis for the TSX Index and take a look at the performance of the materials sector. Then take a look at the chart for copper. The Canadian dollar can never escape the fact that it is a commodity currency.

Canada has some nice pizza restaurants and great ski hills: it is not all about copper and oil.

Reference relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Nov 292013
 
TSX Index up 7.74% YTD
TSX Index sector performance showing the outpeformance by financials and the underperfromance by materials

TSX Index YTD Sector Performance courtesy of StockCharts.com

Energy, Financial and Materials represent 75% of the TSX Index. The Materials sector which represents 16% of the TSX index is down 31.89% YTD. This sector is heavily weighted to gold producers and there is not a ray of light on the horizon for gold or base metals. Reference my chart analysis for copper.

In summary, with the huge underperformance by materials there is a low parbability that the TSX can break major resistance of 13,500.

Reference the sector performance for the S&P 500 Index which is a stark contrast to the TSX sector performance.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Nov 172013
 
Copper could test major support

Copper weekly chart showing the major downtrend, intermediate downtrend and the near-term downtrend

Copper is trading below the 200-day and 50-day moving averages. The major trend is down. The intermediate trend is down. The near-term trend is down. And copper could test the major support zone in the above weekly chart.

The TSX Index will not break resistance of 13,500 with the negative implications of this chart on the materials sector.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Nov 152013
 
A good run for all sectors measured by ETFs
S&P 500 up 26.08% YTD and a good run for all the sectors

S&P 500 YTD Sector Performance

Reference the last analysis for the S&P 500

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca