Sep 232014
 

Bonavista Energy near major support: Low risk entry point

Bonavista Energy chart analysis. Major support is around $12.00

Bonavista Energy (BNP) 10-Year Chart

Bonavista Energy is focused on natural gas production. The yield is 6.56%. If you think there will be an upswing in the price of natural gas this winter, then this is one relatively safe bet on this outcome. And you collect the dividend while you wait. One caveat, close the position on a confirmed break below major support.

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“Keep it Simple!”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

May 142014
 
Major support for the US dollar is the $79.00 zone
Major support for the US Dollar Index is the $79.00 zone.

US Dollar Index Weekly Chart courtesy of stockcharts.com

The US dollar is the reserve currency and has a major impact on other markets. The inverse relationship to the price of commodities is relevant to the Canadian market. Commodities are priced in US dollars so commodity traders demand more US dollars as it declines relevant to other currencies.

United States dollar

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“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Dec 112013
 
High probability TSX Index will test support of 12,900
Tall shaven head and bottom candlestick does not bode well for the TSX Index.  High probability the index will test major support of 12,900.

TSX Index 7 Month Daily Candlestick Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Technical analysis is all about evaluating probabilities. There are no sure things when you evaluate a chart: just guideposts. In the near-term, the above chart indicates a high probability that the TSX Index will test support of 12,900. And there is a low probability that the index will break resistance of 13,500.

Here are the negative points from the above chart:

  1. Tall shaven head and bottom candlestick on the chart today
  2. The 10-Day SMA crossed below the 20-Day SMA
  3. The volume was average today but volume does not have to confirm a downtrend
  4. RSI is confirming the downtrend
  5. Notice the divergence when RSI did not confirm the November high

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index showing the performance by sectors.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper which has a major impact on the materials sector.

Reference the breakout for the TSX above resistance on October 18, 2013. This is now the support zone on the above chart. The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis.

Reference the importance of the 12,900 support zone which was a a area of consolidation back to early 2012.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Dec 082013
 
Maybe a bottom for the Canadian dollar at $0.9400
Three year weekly chart for the Canadian dollar showing major support at $0.9400.

Canadian dollar weekly chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The major trend is down, the intermediate trend is down and the near-term trend is down for the Canadian dollar. It is trading below the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages. But in all this negativity, there is a glimmer of hope—depends on your perspective—that the bottom is $0.9400. This was a support point back in October, 2011 and the hammer is an indication of a bottom. But never trade the bottom: you know the adage about never trying to catch a falling knife.

Reference the last analysis for the TSX Index and take a look at the performance of the materials sector. Then take a look at the chart for copper. The Canadian dollar can never escape the fact that it is a commodity currency.

Canada has some nice pizza restaurants and great ski hills: it is not all about copper and oil.

Reference relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca