Dec 112013
 
High probability TSX Index will test support of 12,900
Tall shaven head and bottom candlestick does not bode well for the TSX Index.  High probability the index will test major support of 12,900.

TSX Index 7 Month Daily Candlestick Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Technical analysis is all about evaluating probabilities. There are no sure things when you evaluate a chart: just guideposts. In the near-term, the above chart indicates a high probability that the TSX Index will test support of 12,900. And there is a low probability that the index will break resistance of 13,500.

Here are the negative points from the above chart:

  1. Tall shaven head and bottom candlestick on the chart today
  2. The 10-Day SMA crossed below the 20-Day SMA
  3. The volume was average today but volume does not have to confirm a downtrend
  4. RSI is confirming the downtrend
  5. Notice the divergence when RSI did not confirm the November high

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index showing the performance by sectors.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper which has a major impact on the materials sector.

Reference the breakout for the TSX above resistance on October 18, 2013. This is now the support zone on the above chart. The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis.

Reference the importance of the 12,900 support zone which was a a area of consolidation back to early 2012.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Dec 082013
 
Maybe a bottom for the Canadian dollar at $0.9400
Three year weekly chart for the Canadian dollar showing major support at $0.9400.

Canadian dollar weekly chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The major trend is down, the intermediate trend is down and the near-term trend is down for the Canadian dollar. It is trading below the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages. But in all this negativity, there is a glimmer of hope—depends on your perspective—that the bottom is $0.9400. This was a support point back in October, 2011 and the hammer is an indication of a bottom. But never trade the bottom: you know the adage about never trying to catch a falling knife.

Reference the last analysis for the TSX Index and take a look at the performance of the materials sector. Then take a look at the chart for copper. The Canadian dollar can never escape the fact that it is a commodity currency.

Canada has some nice pizza restaurants and great ski hills: it is not all about copper and oil.

Reference relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Jun 232013
 
50 Day moving average crosses below 200 Day moving average
Weekly candlestick chart for the TSX Index showing the 50 day moving average crossing below the 200 day moving average. This is called a death cross. Yes, the TSX has a negative technical profile.

TSX Weekly Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The above chart identifies support zones for the TSX. What more can I say about the chart: the TSX has a negative technical profile.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Jun 092013
 
TSX Index could not hold the old trading range
TSX Index daily candlestick chart showing the near-term downtrend.  A shooting star candlestick is identified on the chart.

TSX Index Daily Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The TSX Index could not hold support of 12,600 in the old lateral trading range. Will the near-term downtrend stop at the support level of 12,300? If not, the TSX will move down to the support level of 12,000.

Should you invest in the TSX? The above chart is your answer. Now take a look at another chart.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca