Tag Archives: resistance

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis

TSX Index fails to breakout above resistance of 12,500
TSX Index candlestick chart analysis showing the failure at resistance of 12,500.

TSX Index 6-Month Daily Chart

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index published on December 17, 2012.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note bar chart

Near-term uptrend with resistance at 1.90%
Chart analysis for the U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note showing the near-term uptrend with resistance at 1.90%. The intermediate trend is sideways and the major trend is down.

U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note

The near-term trend is up for the 10-year note which represents the movement of capital from the relative safety of the U.S. Treasury to other asset classes. The S&P 500 Index at 1,446 is above resistance levels of 1,425 and 1,440 with the financial sector being a big winner. There is hope that the U.S. will not drive over the so-called fiscal cliff as politicians do what they do best: talk with no action.  But hope will not sustain the advance in stocks and the U.S. Treasury for much longer. Some sort of resolution to the fiscal mess would see the yield breakout above resistance of 1.90% and a continuation of the near-term uptrend in major U.S. stock indexes. But and there is always a but when you trade online, the major trend is still down for the U.S. Treasury and the intermediate trend is sideways.

For the TSX Index (weighted to oil and material stocks) it would take a confirmed resolution of the fiscal cliff and some good economic numbers out of China to move this Canadian index. And even this may not do the job as caution is the prevailing mood as we end 2012 and will be the prevailing mood as we enter 2013.  It has been a dismal three year performance for the TSX Index relative to the U.S. Indexes.

Reference the last chart analysis for the this U.S. Treasury Note.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis of the TSX Index

TSX back to the trading range of 12,200 to 12,500
TSX Index one year daily bar chart with support and resistance levels.  Back to the old trading range of 12,200 to 12,500

TSX Index 1-Year Daily Bar Chart

The resistance level of 12,200 identified on the last chart of the TSX Index is now the support level. The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis.

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______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

Apple (AAPL) candlestick chart analysis

Is $525 the bottom for Apple?

Apple daily candlestick chart showing the double bottom and the hammer candlestick.  Support and resistance levels are identified on the chart.

A break below the major support level of $525 would be a bad omen for Apple. Monitor this support level closely.

Reference Investor Relations for Apple Inc. to review the fundamental data.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis

TSX Index is struggling at resistance of 12,200
TSX Index candlestick chart analysis showing the index struggling to break resistance of 12,200

TSX Index 6-Month Daily Candlestick Chart

What can I prognosticate from the above chart? As I have said in the past, it is not a pretty picture for the TSX Index: a gain this year of 0% compared to a gain of 12% for the S&P 500 Index. And a three year gain of 6.7% for the TSX Index compared to gain of 28.9% for the S&P 500 Index.

If the TSX Index can break resistance of 12,200 then it moves into the old trading range with resistance at 12,500. A resolution of the so-called fiscal cliff would be the fundamental news to give a lift for the TSX as traders would move into some of the risk-on trades: oil and materials. But, you have the Eurozone slipping into a recession, tepid growth in the BRIC countries, Iran, and crude price differentials for Canadian producers. And these are just some of the known knowns.

The experts will give you their expert projections for the major indexes. In the end, all you can do is follow the charts when you trade online. Use tight stops on any breakout positions. And, a comfortable cash position will let you have a comfortable sleep. On Friday, the U.S.employment report will move the markets.

Reference my last chart analysis for the TSX Index posted on November 27, 2012.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: The above chart analysis is valid as of the publication date. To review current charts click on Home or perform a search. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) logarithmic chart analysis

Long-term uptrend and major lateral trading band
SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) Monthly Logarithmic Chart showing the upward sloping trendline with support and resistance levels.

SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) Monthly Logarithmic Chart 2005-2012


Historical price for gold in U.S. dollars for the period 1974-2012.

Gold Price in USD/oz Linear Scale 1974-2012


The above charts provide a long-term perspective for gold. The first chart shows the pricing for SPDR Gold ETF (ticker:GLD) for the period 2005 to 2012 in the logarithmic scale. The second smaller chart extends the date range from 1974 to 2012 and shows the actual price of gold in U.S. dollars in the linear scale.

There are two generally accepted principles in technical analysis: (1) individual stocks and broad indexes move in trends, and (2) the trend will continue until there is evidence to the contrary. How is this relevant for gold? The long-term trend for gold is up and is currently trading in a major and intermediate lateral trading band. And the near-term trend is down. Given the assumption that the long-term uptrend will continue for gold, a breakout above resistance of 174 and 185 (ticker:GLD) would confirm the continuation of the long-term uptrend. On the contrary, a break below support of 150 (ticker:GLD) would raise a red flag for the continuation of the uptrend.

Significant dates in modern gold history:

  • August, 1971: Then-U.S. President Richard Nixon takes the U.S. dollar off the gold standard, which had been in place with minor modifications since the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944 fixed the conversion rate for one Troy ounce of gold at $35 (U.S.).
  • March, 1973: Most major countries adopt floating-exchange-rate system.
  • January, 1980: Gold hits record high of $850 an ounce.
  • August, 1999: Gold falls to a low of $251.70.
  • November, 2004: SPDR Gold Shares ETF launched
  • November, 2005: Spot gold breaches $500 for the first time since December 1987.
  • May, 2006: Gold prices peak at $730 an ounce.
  • November, 2007: Spot gold hits a 28-year high of $845.40 an ounce.
  • March, 2008: Benchmark gold contract trades over $1,000 for the first time in U.S. futures market.
  • September, 2008: Spot gold rises by nearly $90 an ounce, a record one-day gain.
  • September, 2010: Gold prices reach $1,300 an ounce.
  • September, 2011: Gold prices hit a high of $1,895 USD/oz

http://www.kinross.com/investor-centre/gold-history.aspx

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: The above chart analysis is valid as of the publication date. To review current charts click on Home or perform a search. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index chart analysis

Near-term uptrend for the TSX meeting resistance at 12,200
TSX index chart analysis based on the daily bar chart showing resistance at 12,200.

TSX Index YTD Daily Bar Chart

The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis: old support becomes resistance when it is breached and old resistance becomes support on a breakout. In the above chart, you can see the TSX Index struggling to break resistance at 12,200 which was support in the old trading range. Even if we get a breakout at 12,200 I will dust off my old charts detailing the old trading range of 12,500 to 12,200. The TSX had a dismal three year performance and the risk profile is still to the downside.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index published on November 9, 2012.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: The above chart analysis is valid as of the publication date. To review current charts click on Home or perform a search. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

S&P 500 Index candlestick chart analysis

Near-term trend is down for the S&P 500 Index
Candlestick chart analysis for the S&P 500 Index showing support and resistance levels.

S&P 500 Index 3 Year Weekly Chart

Reference the last chart analysis for the S&P 500 Index based on the daily chart.

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Note: The above chart analysis is valid as of the publication date. To review current charts click on Home or perform a search. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca