Monthly Archives: June 2011

S&P 500 Index technical analysis

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Can the S&P 500 Index hold the 200-day moving average?

S&P500 Index candlestick chart analysis

S&P 500 Index Three-Year Weekly Chart

Key points from the above chart of the S&P 500 Index:

  • Intermediate trend is down.
  • Near-term trend is sideways.
  • Attempting to hold the 200-day moving average of  1,263.
  • The two spinning top candlesticks are neutral and represent the battle between the bulls and bears.
  • Major support is the March low of 1,250.
  • Major resistance is 1,370.
  • Resistance is 1,300 in the June lateral trading range.
  • RSI is confirming the downtrend.
  • RSI can identify divergence and gave a early warning that the May high would not hold.

Reference the previous analysis for the S&P 500 Index.

Visit BigCharts and complete your own analysis.

Wall St Week Ahead: Bulls ready to charge into wall of worry

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis

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Next support level for the TSX is 12,500

Candlestick chart analysis for the tsx index showing support levels and a double top formation at 14,300

TSX Index - Three-Year Weekly Chart

Key points from the above chart of the TSX Index:

  • Intermediate trend is down.
  • Near-term trend is down.
  • Second week below the 200-day simple moving average.
  • The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 100-day moving average.
  • Three bearish candlesticks for the last three weeks.
  • Last week’s candlestick has a shaven bottom.
  • RSI in a downtrend.
  • RSI crossed below 50.

Did I miss any other negative points?  Do you see any positive indicators?

Reference the previous analysis for the TSX Index.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) chart analysis

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Critical retracement level for (TSX:CNQ)

Candlestick chart analysis for Canadian Natural Resources showing the critical retracement level of 66%

(CNQ:TSX) Daily Chart

Key points from the chart:

  • Intermediate trend is down.
  • Near-term trend is down.
  • Critical support is $38.00.
  • If it does not hold $38.00, CNQ could retrace the whole prior move to $32.00.

Reference the updated chart analysis for CNQ published on November 4, 2011.

Reference the previous analysis for CNQ.

Reference the website for Canadian Natural Resources to review the fundamental data.

 

RioCan REIT (TSX:REI.UN) technical analysis

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The major trend is up for RioCan REIT

Candlestick chart analysis for RioCan REIT showing the major trendline and the relative strength indicator (RSI)

RioCan REIT (REI.UN) Three-Year Weekly Candlestick Chart

Reference my previous chart analysis for RioCan REIT.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

Globe and Mail : Target’s store picks a bullseye for RioCan REIT: TD

Financial Post: Depressed U.S. commercial property prices good news for REITs

Financial Post. Oct 5, 2011: Rental income, tax breaks give REITs stability

Globe and Mail, Oct 6, 2011: What the FFO? How to gauge a REIT’s profits

Globe and Mail, Nov 7, 2011: RioCan triples third quarter profit on acquisitions

Globe and Mail, Jan 9, 2012: A REIT ripe for investors

Financial Post, Jan 13, 2012: Canadian REITs are poised for more dougle digit gains over the next twelve months

Financial Post, Jan 13, 2012: 10 rules for investing in REITs

Retrocom REIT (TSX:RMM.UN) candlestick chart analysis

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This mid-market REIT still yields 7.5%

Retrocom reit three-year candlestick chart analysis showing support and resistance with the highlighted consolidation area

Retrocom REIT (RMM.UN) 3-Year Weekly Chart

Always trade in the the direction of the trend:

  • The major trend (greater than six months) is up.
  • The intermediate trend (three weeks to three months) is sideways.
  • The near-term trend (less than three weeks) is sideways.

Reference this Globe and Mail article:  How a real estate analyst’s picks left peers in the dust
Another article: Retrocom: A small REIT with big-growth potential

Retrocom Mid-Market REIT (TSX: RMM.UN) is an Ontario unincorporated open-end real estate investment trust which focuses on owning and acquiring community-based properties in primary and secondary cities across Canada with the objective of producing a geographically diversified portfolio of properties with stable and growing cash flows.

Review my previous analysis of  Riocan REIT

Review my previous chart analysis of Dundee REIT

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Will the TSX index hold major support?

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Still an ominous chart pattern for the TSX index

Six month daily chart of the tsx index showing a double top with major support and resistance, and confirming indicators of MACD, volume and OBV

Six-Month Daily Chart of the TSX Index

Reference the previous analysis of the TSX Index.

Reference my chart settings for Bigcharts and practice using candlesticks with the confirming indicators.

Update for June 11, 2011: TSX index did not hold major support.  Time to reference the previous weekly chart analysis for the TSX which highlights the downside risk.  Obviously, a relatively high cash position—above 50%—is prudent at this stage in the market.

If the U.S. economy doesn’t rebound solidly, if the European debt crisis worsens, or if China, India or Brazil hits a more-serious speed bump, it will come as a nasty shock to a lot of people, and could send stocks down a lot lower.

Read more………… Dow’s Sixth Straight Down Week Fuels Concern Over More Severe Declines Ahead – WSJ

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.