Monthly Archives: March 2012

Technical Analysis: TSX Index

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TSX Index in a lateral trading band
The TSX Index is still trading in a lateral band between 12,300 and 12,600. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has a negative technical profile. The YTD gain of 3.7% pales in comparison to the 12.0% gain for the s&p500.

TSX Index Daily Chart

The TSX Index is still trading in a lateral band between 12,300 and 12,600. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has a negative technical profile. The YTD gain of 3.7% pales in comparison to the 12.0% gain for the S&P500.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis: U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note

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Failed to break major resistance at 2.40%
U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note showing support and resistance levels.

U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note

I last charted the U.S. 10-Year Treasury on March 16, 2012 when it broke the resistance level of 2.10% on the weekly chart. The new support level is now 2.10%. Over the last two weeks it has been unable to break the major resistance level of 2.40%. You have these two key points to set your alerts.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

Copper chart analysis: A visit to the doctor

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Copper trading in an intermediate lateral band
Copper chart analysis showing the lateral trading band with support and resistance levels.

One Year Copper Chart

Always make regular visits to Dr. Copper for his opinion on the overall health of the world economy. Right now, the Doctor is still evaluating the relatively negative economic data out of China. Maybe the upcoming earnings season will shed some extra light on the demand for base metals in China. Economic reports can be misleading but the top line of a company cannot be easily manipulated.

I have set my alerts as per the above chart and a breakout to the upside or downside will be a major signal for the resource based economies: Canada, Australia, Brazil and Russia.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper: still in the same lateral trading band.

View Kitco for updated charts and other time periods.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

Precision Drilling (PD:TSX) chart analysis

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Can Precision Drilling hold the $9.50 support level?
Candlestick chart analysis for Precision Drilling as it prepares to test support at $9.50

Precision Drilling Daily Chart

Reference the last chart analysis for Precision drilling.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

VIX – CBOE Volatility Index – chart analysis

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VIX is showing no fear: How about you?
VIX chart analysis showing the index at the bottom of the trading range.

VIX Candlestick Weekly Chart

The S&P500 Index is up 29% from the October, 2011 low and 22% from the November, 2011 retracement. When you trade stocks, you deal with probabilities. And there is an increased probability of a correction, in the range of a 50% retracement, after a 20% move in an index or a stock. You must give increased weight to any topping pattern on the charts. Yes, be a little bit cautious and maybe a little fearful. You can always count on two attributes of the market: fear and greed.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

Key points to monitor on the TSX Index daily chart

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TSX Index in a lateral trading band
TSX Index chart analysis showing key support and resistance levels.

TSX Index Daily Chart

Yes, the TSX Index has a negative technical profile. The intermediate trend is sideways as identified on the above daily candlestick chart. A confirmed break below 12,300 would be a warning to liquidate long positions.

Think about the major sectors in the TSX Index. The materials sector has a negative technical profile. The energy sector has a negative technical profile. Investors are taking money out of the hot REIT sector as rates slowly rise and on the news of subpar Canadian economic indicators. And the utilities are priced to perfection. And the two major telecos — BCE and Telus — had a nice run and are also priced to perfection.  What is left? Some bank stocks like RBC moved upward over the past four months and the Lifecos are coming back from the dead but are still on life support.

Caution is advised especially with the news coming out of China about the actual or perceived slowdown.

Reference the last chart analysis of the TSX Index based on the weekly chart. This is a three year chart with the the 50 day, 100 day and 200 day simple moving averages. The TSX Index is holding just above the 200 day moving average. You will see the golden cross (50 day crossed above the 200 day) on this longer term chart but the the cross is a little tarnished at this stage.

Notice the similarities with the daily chart for copper? Yes, we are a resource based economy.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis: Copper

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Key support and resistance levels for copper
Technical analysis for copper using the one year chart. Copper is trading in an intermediate lateral trading band. Key support and resistance levels are identified on the chart analysis.

One Year Chart for Copper

DR. Copper has a PhD in economics and is known to predict the economic turning points better than any economist. I have identified the key points to monitor on the copper chart which is currently in a consolidation range. You will have to make the appropriate trading decisions when the chart breaks to the upside or downside. Dr. Copper is still evaluating the data and a decision is pending.

Reference the last chart analysis posted October 20, 2012 when $3.00 was identified as the major support level.

View Kitco for updated charts and other time periods.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

U.S. Treasury 10-year note chart analysis

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Major resistance for the 10-year note is 2.40%
Near-term uptrend for the 10-year treasury with major resistance at 2.40%. The new support level is 2.10% and the intermediate trend is sideways.

US Treasury 10-Year Yield Weekly Chart

U.S. Treasury 10-year note has been trading in an intermediate lateral band of 1.80% to 2.10% for the past six months. The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis and the old resistance level of 2.1% is now the new support level. Can the index breakout above 2.4% which is a major resistance level that was tested last October? Or will the TNX ease into another lateral trading band with 2.10% as the new support level?

Reference the last chart analysis for the 10-year treasury based on the weekly chart when it was unable to break the resistance level of 2.40% last October.

“Unless you want to earn an inflation adjusted return of minus 2-3% as offered by Treasury bills, then you must take risk in some form.” Bill Gross

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca