Bullish shaven head candlestick — first trading day of 2013
DJIA 6-Month Candlestick Chart
The tall bullish shaven head and shaven bottom candlestick is a graphical representation of the euphoria after a deal on the so-called fiscal cliff. It was excellent follow through for the bullish engulfing pattern of December 31. The market teetered at major support on December 27 and 28 when a deal was less than certain.
Technical analysis is all about assessing probabilities and there is a high probability that the Dow will test major resistance of 13,600. But there is a a lot of froth in this market as represented by the VIX and it can turn on a dime. The VIX has fallen 35.4 percent over the past two sessions, the biggest 2-day percentage drop in the history of the index. The next big news event is the employment report this Friday.
I would like to see the 10-Year U.S. Treasury close convincingly above 1.900% as confirmation that the Dow and S&P500 would have a chance to continue the near-term uptrend.
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