Monthly Archives: April 2013

S&P 500 Index chart with trendline and support zone

Intermediate trend is up for the S&P 500 until proven otherwise
S&P 500 Index daily chart showing the upward sloping trendline and the support zone.

S&P 500 Index Daily 1-Year Chart

The chart pattern today (Monday, April 15) indicates caution but the intermediate trend is still up until there is a confirmed break below the intermediate trendline. This is near the support zone of 1530 to 1540.

There are three trends to consider for any index or stock: up, down or sideways. And there are three time frames to consider for a trend: near-term trend, intermediate trend and major trend.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) logarithmic chart analysis

A break below major support of 150
A break below major support of  150 on the weekly chart for the GLD ETF.

GLD ETF 5-Year Weekly Logarithmic Chart

GLD is officially in bear market territory (-20% from a high) as the $143.95 close is a drop of 22.5% from the September, 2011 high of $185.85. And then we have the break below major support of 150. The next support level is 140.

I don’t care about reasons for the price of goal. There are people who make a living writing about the multitude of reasons for the slide in gold. I just follow the chart until it indicates a bottom. Reasons are irrelevant.

Reference the last chart analysis for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

S&P 500 YTD sector performance relative to the index

Notice the outperformance of the defensive sectors
S&P 500 sector performance relative to the index.

S&P 500 YTD Sector Performance Relative to the Index courtesy of StockCharts.com

The relative outperformance of the defensive sectors has a historical correlation with a market top.

Reference my last chart analysis for the S&P 500 Index.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

U.S. Commodity Groups YTD Performance

Not a good YTD performance for the major commodity groups
A bar chart showing the absolute performance of the major commodity groups.

US Commodity Groups YTD Absolute Performance courtesy of StockCharts.com

Not a good YTD performance for the major commodity groups and it is reflected in the dismal YTD performance of the the TSX Composite Index.

Reference my chart analysis for copper which is included the industrial metals group in the above bar chart.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Bullish white candlestick for the TSX Index

Reference the resistance levels for the TSX Index
TSX Index chart analysis showing a bullish white candlestick with resistance at 12,500.

TSX Index Daily Candlestick Chart

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index showing the support zone. It held the support zone right around the 200 day simple moving average. Today, there was movement into the energy and materials stocks which is represented by the tall white candlestick. One day does not make an uptrend and there will be heavy resistance at 12,500.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis

TSX Index must hold support zone or it will test 11,800
TSX Index in a near-term downtrend and must hold the support zone or it will test 11,800.

TSX Index Daily Candlestick Chart

The last chart analysis for the TSX Index showed it stuck in a lateral trading band with support at 12,600 and resistance at 12,900. That all ended on Wednesday in a big way when the tall dark candlestick crashed through two support levels: 12,600 and 12,500. The trading action today confirmed the near-term downtrend with an open and close below the close for the ominous tall dark candlestick.

The TSX Index now has a new major resistance level of 12,500 (reversal of roles) which was a prior major support level.

The support zone is based on three points:

  1. A 50% retracement of the November intermediate move which would be 12,350
  2. The 200 day moving average at 12,269
  3. The old support level of 12,200

If the TSX Index cannot hold the support zone, there is a high probability of a test of the November low around 11,800.

If you read my previous posts, this surprise drop on Wednesday should come as no surprise. Material and oil related stocks, which represent 45% of the TSX Index, have performed very poorly. Reference a recent post on Dr. Copper.

U.S. Jobs Report will move the market on Friday: most likely to the downside.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca