Author Archives: Trader

S&P 500 YTD absolute performance by sector

S&P 500 up 16.92% with Health Care leading at 23.65%
S&P 500 Sector ETFs YTD Absolute Performance

S&P 500 Sector ETFs YTD Absolute Performance courtesy of StockCharts.com

Reference the last sector analysis for the S&P 500 published on April 12, 2013 showing the relative performance of each sector.

The theory now is that money will flow into the lagging sectors including technology, materials and energy.

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index technical analysis

Near-term uptrend for TSX with resistance at 12,600
TSX chart showing the near-term uptrend with resistance at 12,600.

TSX Index Daily Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

WTI-Brent spread narrows to $7.76

Chart is the ratio of WTI/Brent
Weekly chart showing the ratio of WTI/Brent.  It has narrowed significantly since the beginning of March as the glut in Cushing, Oklahoma continues to decline.

WTI/Brent Weekly Chart

Prices as of May 8, 2013

  • Differential Brent versus WTI for May 8, 2013 was $104.34 – $96.58 = $7.76
  • Price for Western Canadian Select on May 8, 2012 = $74.68
  • Brent versus WCS differential was $104.34 – $74.68 = $29.66
  • WTI versus WCS differential was $96.58 – $74.68 = $21.90

Prices as of February 5, 2013

  • Differential Brent versus WTI for February 5, 2013 was $116.52 – $96.65 = $19.87
  • Price for Western Canadian Select on February 5, 2012 = $66.74
  • Brent versus WCS differential was $116.52 – $66.74 = $49.78
  • WTI versus WCS differential was $96.65 – $66.74 = $29.91

Reference the last chart analysis for West Texas Intermediate Crude (WTIC)

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

S&P 500 Index technical analysis

Correction imminent for the S&P 500 Index?
S&P 500 Index Candlestick chart showing the 19.5% gain from the November low.

S&P 500 Index Candlestick Chart

The major, intermediate and near-term trends are all up. And you always trade in the direction of the trend. And the S&P 500 just broke resistance at 1,600.

But, after a +20% gain in an index or stock, I give increased probability to any reversal patterns. We are at that point now with the S&P 500 Index. And seasonal factors align with the probability of a correction. You judge the patterns and trade accordingly.

Reference the last chart analysis for the S&P 500 Index.

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Copper daily candlestick chart

Tall white candlestick on Friday: 6.50% gain
Tall bullish white candlestick on the daily copper chart on Friday needs follow-through next week.

Copper Daily Candlestick Chart

Nice pop on Friday but there has to be follow-through next week. The intermediate trend is still down and the 20-day simple moving average is a good approximation of the intermediate downtrend.

Reference the last chart analysis on April 18, 2013 where I highlighted the hammer.

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Canadian Dollar chart analysis

Near-term uptrend for the Canadian Dollar and intermediate downtrend
Near-term uptrend for the Canadian Dollar with resistance at $0.99

Canadian Dollar 6 Month Daily Chart

The near-term uptrend in the Canadian dollar will meet heavy resistance at $0.9900.

Reference my post from January 25, 2013: Canadian Dollar and TSX Composite Index Diverge and the excerpt from the post.

If the positive correlation between the TSX Index and the Canadian dollar is still relevant, then either the TSX trades down or the Canadian dollar trades up. At this stage in the market, I do not forecast an uptrend for the dollar so one can conclude that the TSX Index will not advance much more is this intermediate uptrend. The Canadian dollar has lost some of its luster as a petro-currency and safe haven investment.

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index weekly chart

Yes, the TSX Index index is struggling
A three year weekly candlestick chart for the TSX Index showing support around 12,000 and a major lateral trading range.

TSX Index 3-year Weekly Chart

A dismal chart showing the major lateral trading range with support at 12,000 and major resistance at 12,500.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Goldcorp (GG) chart analysis

Time to monitor for bottom formation chart pattern
Goldcorp (GG) 5 Year Logarithmic Chart showing the major, intermediate and near-term downtrend.

Goldcorp (GG) 5 Year Logarithmic Chart

The gold miners are trading well into bear territory. Take a look at the 5 year chart for Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) which is approaching the 2008 low. Barrick Gold (ABX) is testing the 2008 low.

Goldcorp (GG) has the largest market cap in the industry and some of the best fundamentals. Never try to catch a falling knife but it is time to monitor for a bottom formation pattern.

Reference the last chart analysis for gold.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca