Author Archives: Trader

S&P 500 Sector ETFs Performance Chart for 2013

Happy New Year: It was a very good year for the S&P 500 +29.6%

S&P 500 Sector Performance Chart for 2013.

S&P 500 Sector Performance Chart for 2013 courtesy of StockCharts.com


This sector performance chart for the s&P 500 speaks for itself. No annotation required!

After a run like this, do you think a “correction” is imminent? Or will the S&P500 continue its upward trend?

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index sector performance chart for 2013

TSX Index up 9.55% with an uneven sector performance

TSX Index sector performance for 2013.  The materials sector was a major drag on the index.

TSX Index Sector Performance for 2013

Canadian stock market sector performance for 2013. It was a subpar performance relative to other world indexes.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index sector performance

Materials sector up 3.81% the past week
Bar chart showing the performance of the TSX sectors over the past week.

TSX Index Sector Performance

The gain in materials over the past week gave the TSX Index a tentative close above 13,500. Can the materials sector continue to advance without upward movement in the underlying commodities?

Reference the recent chart analysis for copper which is struggling at the resistance level.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX sectors.

S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

U.S. Treasury 10-Year Yield Chart

3.00% is a key resistance point
The key resistance point for the 10-year Treasury is 3.00% with an indicated intermediate target of 3.80% on a breakout.

10-Year Treasury Yield

The 10-year Treasury closed at 2.924% today as it moves closer to the key resistance point of 3.00%. A breakout above this resistance point would indicate a target of 3.80%.

Reference my last chart analysis of the 10-yeat Treasury.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

TSX Index candlestick chart

Gravestone Doji and 13,500 resistance on the TSX daily chart
TSX Index daily candlestick chart highlighting the gravestone doji and the resistance level of 13,500.

TSX Index Daily Candlestick chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

I am not surprised to see the gravestone doji on the today’s TSX candlestick daily chart. The doji is a significant reversal indicator. It indicates that the near-term trend that started on Monday has ended at the major resistance level of 13,500. Like I said, this is no surprise.

Reference previous posts for the TSX Index showing the 13,500 resistance level.

Natural Gas Monthly Price – US Dollars per Million Metric British Thermal Unit Nov,1993-Nov,2013

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Precision Drilling candlestick chart

Back to the support level on the weekly chart
Precision Drilling chart showing the return to the support level.

Precision Drilling 2-Year Weekly chart

On July 28, 2013, I published a chart showing the breakout above the resistance level. This updated weekly chart shows Precision Drilling back to the breakout point which is now the support level. The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Copper 1-year daily bar chart

Copper near-term uptrend and resistance zone
Copper chart showing the near-term uptrend and the resistance zone.

Copper 1-Year Daily Bar Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The major trend is down, the intermediate trend is sideways and the near-term trend is up. I am focusing on the near-term trend (last three weeks) in this analysis. The near-term trend is up and the resistance zone is identified on the above chart. A break above the resistance zone would indicate a target of $3.80. The price of copper is a good proxy for the growth in the world economy:in particular for China. A breakout above the resistance zone would bode well for the TSX Index which has a relatively large weighting in base metal stocks. A failure for copper to breakout above the resistance zone would indicate that the TSX Index will not breakout above the 13,500 resistance level.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper based on the weekly chart.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

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“It is not when you buy that counts, it is when you sell”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis: TSX Index Daily Chart

High probability TSX Index will test support of 12,900
Tall shaven head and bottom candlestick does not bode well for the TSX Index.  High probability the index will test major support of 12,900.

TSX Index 7 Month Daily Candlestick Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Technical analysis is all about evaluating probabilities. There are no sure things when you evaluate a chart: just guideposts. In the near-term, the above chart indicates a high probability that the TSX Index will test support of 12,900. And there is a low probability that the index will break resistance of 13,500.

Here are the negative points from the above chart:

  1. Tall shaven head and bottom candlestick on the chart today
  2. The 10-Day SMA crossed below the 20-Day SMA
  3. The volume was average today but volume does not have to confirm a downtrend
  4. RSI is confirming the downtrend
  5. Notice the divergence when RSI did not confirm the November high

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index showing the performance by sectors.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper which has a major impact on the materials sector.

Reference the breakout for the TSX above resistance on October 18, 2013. This is now the support zone on the above chart. The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis.

Reference the importance of the 12,900 support zone which was a a area of consolidation back to early 2012.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca