Author Archives: Trader

Technical Analysis: TSX Index candlestick chart

TSX Index in a consolidation range

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis showing a consolidation range

TSX Index Weekly Chart

The following are the key points from the above chart analysis:

  • The near-term trend is sideways.
  • Trading in a consolidation range.
  • Support is 12,000.
  • Resistance is 12,500.
  • Reference the Oct 3 post regarding major support of 11,000.
  • I explained the double top reversal pattern in the June 18 post.
  • Another post explaining the double top reversal pattern on May 6.
  • The April 24 post warned of the double top.
  • The possibility of a double top was raised in the April 14 post.

What is a reasonable trading strategy at this point in the market?

The TSX Index is trading in a near-term consolidation range as indicated on the chart. A neutral trading strategy with an above average cash position would be appropriate. A confirmed break (+2% for two days) above the 12,500 resistance level would be a reason to add cautiously to long positions. A confirmed break below support of 12,000 would be a reason to liquidate longs.

Past posts for the TSX Index provide continuity in the analysis:

Reference the last chart analysis dated Nov 4 for the TSX Index. This chart identified the harami cross candlestick pattern with a tweezers top. You can also review the TSX Index Category for a sequential listing of charts.

The following current articles are picks from the web:

Financial Post article dated Nov 12, 2011: Does anyone really want us to be financially savvy?

Financial Post article dated Nov 11, 2011: Mr. Market’s mood is picking up

Financial Post article dated Nov 11, 2011: Ride volatility with managed futures

Financial Post article dated Nov17, 2011: Run from debt to cash sparks sell off

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The main purpose of TradeOnline.ca is a starting point for your own chart analysis. Technical analysis serves as a guidepost in your daily investment analysis and is used in conjunction with fundamental analysis. There is no magic formula for making profits when you trade online in the stock market. We are all students of the market, and one should never give up reviewing and learning the basics. Visit the Advanced Chart Settings and customize BigCharts so you can review different time periods.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Royal Bank (RY:TSX) candlestick chart

Royal Bank of Canada chart analysis indicates a bottom
Candlestick chart analysis for the Royal Bank based on the weekly chart indicates a bottom with the RSI at an oversold level

Royal Bank (RY:TSX) Weekly Chart

The intermediate trend for RBC is sideways and the near-term trend is down. The $45.00 support level was tested in September, October and November: the support level has held. There is an old trading axiom that advises you to never try and catch a falling knife. But a small position at this level is a relatively low risk entry point as you monitor the chart for a breakout above resistance around the $50.00 level. A break below $45.00 would be a reason to liquidate the long positions.

Reference the last chart analysis for the Royal Bank of Canada based on the daily chart.

Review the fundamental data for RBC.

Relevant articles picked from the web:

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The main purpose of TradeOnline.ca is a starting point for your own chart analysis. Technical analysis serves as a guidepost in your daily investment analysis and is used in conjunction with fundamental analysis. There is no magic formula for making profits when you trade online in the stock market. We are all students of the market, and one should never give up reviewing and learning the basics. Visit the Advanced Chart Settings and customize BigCharts so you can review different time periods.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis

Harami Cross on the weekly chart of the TSX Index

Candlestick chart analysis for the TSX Index on the weekly chart showing a harami cross and a tweezers top.

TSX Index Weekly Chart

The intermediate trend is down and the near-term trend is sideways.

Reference the last chart analysis for the index.

MarketWatch: Canadian stocks hesitate on Italy concerns

The main purpose of TradeOnline.ca is a starting point for your own chart analysis. Technical analysis serves as a guidepost in your daily investment analysis and is used in conjunction with fundamental analysis. There is no magic formula for making profits when you trade online in the stock market. We are all students of the market, and one should never give up reviewing and learning the basics. Visit the Advanced Chart Settings and customize BigCharts so you can review different time periods.

Please leave a comment to suggest a stock or index for analysis on this site.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ:TSX) chart analysis

Bullish white candlestick on the daily chart for CNQ
Candlestick chart analysis for Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ:TSX) showing a bullish white candlestick on the daily chart.  Major resistance is at $40.00 and confirming indicators of volume and rsi are identified in the chart analysis.

CNQ Daily Candlestick Chart

Candlestick chart analysis for Canadian Natural Resources showing a harami cross and a tweezers top. This could be a significant reversal indicator.

CNQ Chart for Nov 4, 2011

The above candlestick chart highlights the bullish candlestick for Thursday, Nov 3, 2011. I always look for follow-through after a tall bullish white candlestick. But you have to analyze individual company charts in the context of the overall market. And in this volatile market nimble traders will take profits on near-term gains. Major resistance of $40.00 is around the 200-day simple moving average which can be seen on a weekly chart.

The chart to the right is a snippet from the daily chart for Friday, Nov 4, 2011. The harami cross candlestick pattern in combination with a tweezers top could be an indicator of a reversal in the near-term uptrend. The bulls did on persevere on Friday.

Reference the last chart analysis for Canadian Natural Resources.

Reference the website for Canadian Natural Resources to review the fundamental data.

The main purpose of TradeOnline.ca is a starting point for your own analysis. Technical analysis serves as a guidepost in your daily investment analysis and is used in conjunction with fundamental analysis. There is no magic formula for making profits in the stock market. We are all students of the market, and one should never give up reviewing and learning the basics. Visit the Advanced Chart Settings and customize BigCharts so you can review different time periods.

______________________________

Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

US Bond 10-year yield candlestick chart

Support and resistance levels
Candlestick chart analysis of the US 10 year treasury note yield showing support and resistance levels

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield

The intermediate trend is down and the near-term trend is up.

At this stage in the market, there is a direct correlation between the the major stock indexes and the 10-year treasury yield. Bearish sentiment is reflected in falling yields as investors move into the relative safety of government bonds.

Reference the last analysis for the US Bond 10 year yield.

Relevant article picked from the Web:

What is the bond market telling us? — Financial Post — Jan 12, 2012

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Chart analysis for copper

$3.00 is a key support level for copper

Five year copper chart showing major support at around the $3.00 level

5 Year Copper Chart

Based on this chart for data up to Oct 20, 2011; copper has a negative technical profile. The intermediate trend is down with major support around the $3.00 level.

View my recent chart analysis for Teck Resources.

View Kitco for updated charts and other time periods.

Current articles pertaining to commodities:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index chart analysis showing the trendlines

Can the TSX Index break the downward sloping trendline?

Chart analysis of the TSX Index showing the trendlines over the past year

TSX Index Daily Chart

The TSX Index has a negative technical profile. The intermediate trend is down and the index trades below the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day simple moving averages. And, the 50-day moving average is below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. And, the TSX Index trades below the downward sloping trendline. Also, the RSI is trending down and is below 50. Resistance is at the 12,000 level with current support for the lateral band at 11,500. Major support is at the 11,000 level.

Reference my last chart analysis for the TSX Index based on the weekly chart.

The following are some current articles picked from the web:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Precision Drilling (PD:TSX) chart analysis

Can Precision Drilling maintain the near-term uptrend?
Candlestick chart analysis for Precision Drilling (PD:TSX) showing the near-term uptrend  with support and resistance levels.

Precision Drilling Candlestick chart

Reference the last chart analysis for Precision Drilling.

Precision Drilling Corporation (“Precision”) intends to release its 2011 third quarter results
before the market opens on Friday, October 21, 2011 and has scheduled a conference call and
webcast to begin promptly at 12:00 Noon MT (2:00 p.m. ET) on the same day.

FP article dated Oct 21, 2011: Precision Drilling earnings surge 48%

Update Friday, Oct 21, 2011: Stock sold-off to the $11.00 level as indicated by a bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart: sold into the news of the earnings release. Traders who bought the stock at the beginning of the month took profits on the gain from $8.00 to $12.00: a nice profit of 50%.

Update Monday, Oct 24, 2011: Precision Drilling closed at $11.87 today.  The stock pattern may indicate that it will ease into a lateral band between $11.00 and $12.00.  A close above the $12.00 resistance level for two days would be a sign to add to long positions with an intermediate target of $15.00.  If the stock cannot hold the $11.00 level, it would be a sign to liquidate longs.

Update Monday, Oct 31, 2011: Precision Drilling closed at $11.56 today. A tall bearish candlestick (daily candlestick chart) after two spinning tops is not a good omen. Another negative factor is the above average volume today on the sell-off. If the stock cannot hold support at $11.00, the next major test would be the 50% retracement level of around $10.00.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca