Author Archives: Trader

Major uptrend for U.S. Treasury 2-Year Yield

U.S. Treasury 2-Year Treasury Yield

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The following chart is an update showing the break above 2.00%

Two-Year US Treasury Yield

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-12/u-s-2-year-yield-tops-2-for-first-time-since-financial-crisis

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“Technical Analysis is about putting the probabilities on your side.”
Note:This technical analysis is for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stocks or indexes.
© 2017 TradeOnline.ca

U.S. Dollar Index will test major support around 91

Major downtrend, intermediate downtrend and near-term downtrend for the U.S. dollar index. Why does this matter? One example is the inverse relationship with commodities which are priced is U.S. dollars. This is one factor for the near-term uptrend in the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude.

U.dollar index will test major support around 91.

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“What is the major tend? What is the intermediate trend? What is the near-term trend?”
Note:This technical analysis is for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stocks or indexes.
© 2017 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index up 6.03% for 2017

TSX Index sector performance for 2017.

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“What is the major tend? What is the intermediate trend? What is the near-term trend?”
Note:This technical analysis is for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stocks or indexes.
© 2017 TradeOnline.ca

S&P 500 up 19.42% for 2017

S&P 500 Index showing the performance by sector for 2017.

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities. There is over USD 7.8 trillion benchmarked to the index, with index assets comprising approximately USD 2.2 trillion of this total. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

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“What is the major tend? What is the intermediate trend? What is the near-term trend?”
Note:This technical analysis is for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stocks or indexes.
© 2017 TradeOnline.ca

G10 currency gains against the dollar this year

I will be publishing more on this topic including individual charts

Currency gains this year against the US dollar

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“What is the major tend? What is the intermediate trend? What is the near-term trend?”
Note:This technical analysis is for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stocks or indexes.
© 2017 TradeOnline.ca

Natural Gas at major support around $2.60 MMBtu

Natural Gas three year chart showing major support around $2.60.

The following is an excellent site for research: Natural Gas Weekly Update

Weekly natural gas rig count

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“What is the major tend? What is the intermediate trend? What is the near-term trend?”
Note:This technical analysis is for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stocks or indexes.
© 2017 TradeOnline.ca

Western Canadian Select (WCS) price differential on December 15, 2017 with WTI is ($57.30-32.75) $24.55 USD/bbl and the near-term trend is a projected increase in the differential

Western Canadian Select chart showing the differential with WTI

There are two major negative factors affecting the price of WCS and thus increasing the the price differential. The first is new production coming on stream and the second is the pipeline constraint to export WCS to the U.S. market.

Click here for a live and larger version of the above chart.

There are over 300 benchmark streams of crude oil produced around the world. The most commonly referenced US benchmark is West Texas Intermediate (WTI), priced out of Cushing, Oklahoma. WTI is lighter and sweeter than the international benchmark, North Sea Brent, which is priced out of Sullom Voe, Scotland.

The two most popular Canadian benchmarks are Canadian Light and Western Canadian Select. WCS is a heavy sour blend while Canadian Light is a light sweet crude, similar in quality to WTI.

Click hear for an explanation of WCS.

This link provides an historical chart of the WCS price differential with WTI.

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“Technical Analysis is about identifying and following the appropriate trend.”
Note:This technical analysis is for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stocks or indexes.
© 2017 TradeOnline.ca

Potash (POT.TO) intermediate uptrend at major resistance

Potash at major resistance on the weekly chart.

http://www.potashcorp.com/investors/

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“Technical Analysis is about identifying and following the appropriate trend.”
Note:This technical analysis is for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stocks or indexes.
© 2017 TradeOnline.ca