Category Archives: Stocks

SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) logarithmic chart analysis

A break below major support of 150
A break below major support of  150 on the weekly chart for the GLD ETF.

GLD ETF 5-Year Weekly Logarithmic Chart

GLD is officially in bear market territory (-20% from a high) as the $143.95 close is a drop of 22.5% from the September, 2011 high of $185.85. And then we have the break below major support of 150. The next support level is 140.

I don’t care about reasons for the price of goal. There are people who make a living writing about the multitude of reasons for the slide in gold. I just follow the chart until it indicates a bottom. Reasons are irrelevant.

Reference the last chart analysis for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Canadian Energy Sector versus U.S. Energy Sector

Canadian energy sector has underperformed its U.S. counterpart
This chart measures the relative performance of the Canadian energy sector versus the U.S. energy sector.

XEG ETF versus XLE ETF courtesy of StockCharts.com

This chart is simply the performance of XEG relative to XLE which is XEG/XLF.

Reference the last chart analysis for XEG – S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index Fund.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

XMA – S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index Fund

XMA is testing major support at $16.00
Candlestick chart of XMA - S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index Fund  showing the major downtrend with support at $16.00 courtesy of <a href=

XMA 5-Year Candlestick Chart courtesy of BigCharts.com

 

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

Reference the last chart analysis for XEG – S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index Fund.

Reference iShares XMA – S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index Fund overview.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Divergence: U.S. and Canadian Energy Sectors

A major reason is the Western Canadian Select price differential
A performance chart for XLE - Energy Select Sector SPDR (ticker:XLE) and XEG - S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index Fund (ticker:XEG)

XLE and XEG Performance Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The above chart plots the performance of the U.S. and Canadian energy sectors since the March, 2009 low. I am using two ETFs as a representation of the sectors: XLE – Energy Select Sector SPDR and XEG – S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index Fund. XLE gained 118% since the the March, 2009 low compared to a gain of 54% for XEG.

The divergence between the between the U.S. energy sector (XLE) and the Canadian energy sector (XEG) is evident on the above chart since late 2011. The major reason for the divergence is the crude oil price differential for Western Canadian Select caused in part by pipeline constraints.

Reference the last chart analysis for XEG – S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index Fund.

Relevant articles picked from the Web

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

iShares S&P/TSX Energy Index (XEG) chart analysis

Near-term uptrend for XEG but the major trend is down
A six month candlestick chart for iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index (ticker:XEG) showing the near-term uptrend and resistance levels.  RSI is confirming the neart-term uptrend but the intermediate trend is sideways and the major trend is down.

iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index (XEG) 6-Month Chart

With a weighting of 27.88% in the S&P/TSX Composite Index, the energy sector holds the key (along with materials—16.88%) for the continuation of the uptrend in the index. But with the underlying commodities, including oil and natural gas, not breaking out to the upside; it is hard to be optimistic. And then there is the frustrating Canadian crude oil differential due in part to pipeline constraints. The differential compared to world oil prices (Brent) is around $50.00 per barrel. Canada imports around 40% of the oil it consumes. So eastern Canada is paying world prices for crude and western Canada is losing $1.5-billion a month because of the differential. The oil visionaries out west, with the “let eastern Canada freeze in the dark mentality”, were not the great oracles. Who needed to ship oil to the east when our friends to the south would take all we could produce out west? You have the answer today and there is no easy solution. Pipelines cannot be built in a day and the U.S. is able to squeeze more and more out of their wells due to advances in drilling technology—hydraulic fracturing.

The financials, with a weighting of 29.62%, have done the heavy lifting and are up over 19% from the November, 2012 low. But the financial sector is close to major resistance levels and is due for a consolidation or correction.

XEG – S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index Fund – Suncor represents 18.60% of this fund.

Reference the last chart analysis for the S&P/TSX Index posted on January 18, 2013

Reference the last chart analysis for XEG posted on September 18, 2012

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippet is from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Precision Drilling (PD:TSX) chart analysis

Near-term uptrend and major resistance at $9.00
Near-term uptrend for Precision Drilling with major resistance at $9.00.

Precision Drilling 1-Year Bar Chart

Precision Drilling near-term uptrend will meet resistance at $9.00. Unless there is a confirmed break above this level, there is no reason to hold this stock.

The Canadian energy sector which represents 27.88% of the S&P/TSX Composite Index is not participating in the intermediate uptrend in global equities. It is a major reason (along with materials) why the TSX Index is not moving up relative to global equities. The Canadian crude oil discount, caused in part by pipeline constraints, has added to the pain in the energy sector.

Reference the last chart analysis for Precision Drilling posted on July 26, 2012.

Visit the Precision Drilling website for a profile of the company and the latest financial numbers.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Intel (INTC) chart analysis

Intermediate and near-term uptrend for Intel
Chart analysis for Intel showing the intermediate and near-term uptrend with the resistance zone.

Intel 6-Month Candlestick Chart

The major trend is down for Intel (ticker:INTC) but the intermediate and near-term trends are up. The company reports after the bell on Thursday and this could be the catalyst to break above the resistance zone. But January options expire on Friday and there is always a tendency for a stock to be pinned to the nearest option price which is $22.50.

Reference the website for Intel to review the fundamental data and latest earnings report.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca