Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
The S&P500 Index is up 29% from the October, 2011 low and 22% from the November, 2011 retracement. When you trade stocks, you deal with probabilities. And there is an increased probability of a correction, in the range of a 50% retracement, after a 20% move in an index or a stock. You must give increased weight to any topping pattern on the charts. Yes, be a little bit cautious and maybe a little fearful. You can always count on two attributes of the market: fear and greed.
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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
Yes, the TSX Index has a negative technical profile. The intermediate trend is sideways as identified on the above daily candlestick chart. A confirmed break below 12,300 would be a warning to liquidate long positions.
Think about the major sectors in the TSX Index. The materials sector has a negative technical profile. The energy sector has a negative technical profile. Investors are taking money out of the hot REIT sector as rates slowly rise and on the news of subpar Canadian economic indicators. And the utilities are priced to perfection. And the two major telecos — BCE and Telus — had a nice run and are also priced to perfection. What is left? Some bank stocks like RBC moved upward over the past four months and the Lifecos are coming back from the dead but are still on life support.
Caution is advised especially with the news coming out of China about the actual or perceived slowdown.
Reference the last chart analysis of the TSX Index based on the weekly chart. This is a three year chart with the the 50 day, 100 day and 200 day simple moving averages. The TSX Index is holding just above the 200 day moving average. You will see the golden cross (50 day crossed above the 200 day) on this longer term chart but the the cross is a little tarnished at this stage.
Notice the similarities with the daily chart for copper? Yes, we are a resource based economy.
Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
DR. Copper has a PhD in economics and is known to predict the economic turning points better than any economist. I have identified the key points to monitor on the copper chart which is currently in a consolidation range. You will have to make the appropriate trading decisions when the chart breaks to the upside or downside. Dr. Copper is still evaluating the data and a decision is pending.
Reference the last chart analysis posted October 20, 2012 when $3.00 was identified as the major support level.
View Kitco for updated charts and other time periods.
Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
U.S. Treasury 10-year note has been trading in an intermediate lateral band of 1.80% to 2.10% for the past six months. The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis and the old resistance level of 2.1% is now the new support level. Can the index breakout above 2.4% which is a major resistance level that was tested last October? Or will the TNX ease into another lateral trading band with 2.10% as the new support level?
Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
Another breakout for Great-West Life on the daily chart
Great-West Life Candlestick Chart
The Lifecos are having a good run as the bond yields increase and the US indexes advance. Combine this with an above average dividend yield and the rally may continue. Great-West Life, Power Financial, Manulife and Sun Life are all moving to the upside.
Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
Breakout for PetroBakken Energy on the daily chart
PetroBakken Energy (PBN:TSX) Candlestick Chart
PetroBakken Energy (PBN:TSX) candlestick chart analysis showing the morning doji star candlestick pattern. And a bullish white candlesticks gaps away from the previous white candlestick with a confirmed breakout at $17.00. Volume, On Balance Volume (OBV) and the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) are confirming the uptrend.
The morning doji star is a major reversal pattern which called an end to the near-term downtrend that started on February 23. It is comprised of three candlesticks. The first candlestick is the dark tall bearish candlestick that appeared on March 5. The bears were in control at this stage but the volume was relatively light. Then on March 6, a gap appears with a doji (narrow or the same opening and closing) which is the second part of the pattern. Then on March 7, there is another gap and a tall white candlestick associated with above average volume. The reversal pattern is now completed. This particular morning star formation is rare and would be properly called an abandoned baby. It has two gaps where there is no overlap of the shadows.
Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
I start each trading week with an analysis of the major US and Canadian indexes. A three year weekly candlestick chart is my tool of choice. Three simple moving averages (50 day, 100 day and 200 day) are used to monitor the trend and any crossovers. Volume, On Balance Volume (OBV) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) are used as confirming indicators and to spot divergence.
The harami candlestick pattern identified on the above chart of the TSX Index is similar to the Western inside day. This is not a major reversal pattern but caution is advised. The TSX Index may move into a consolidation range between support and resistance. But a break below support of 12,500 would be reason enough to liquidate selected long position.
Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
