Tag Archives: candlestick charts

Putting the March TSX correction in perspective

TSX decline to 13,200 represented a minimum retracement level of 34.4%

There are no firm rules when an index or stock retraces a prior move. The minimum retracement level would be 33%  and the maximum would be 66%.  If  the correction passes the 66% level, there is a high probability the stock or index will retrace the prior move.

Weekly candlestick chart of the TSX showing the March correction which represented a retracement of 34.3% of the  28.8% (3200 points) gain from the July low of 13,200 to the March 7 high of 14,300

S&P/TSX 1-Year Weekly Chart

The most important points for the above TSX chart analysis are:

  • The 50-day moving average is a good approximation of the trend line.
  • The major trend ( longer than six months) is up.
  • The intermediate trend ( three weeks to three months) is up.
  • The near-term trend ( less than three weeks) is now up.
  • The March correction was a 34.3% retracement of the July to March upswing.
  • The March correction was -7.7%.
  • The support level of  13,500 held on the pullback.

You can reference recent chart analysis of the S&P/TSX index to see where the index made an assault on the 13, 500 level.  Then there was the break and the run to the March high.

This two-year annotated candlestick chart of the TSX makes one statement: it was a good run.

Maintain a neutral trading strategy at this  juncture in the S&P/TSX index with alerts at the 14,200 and the 13,800 levels.  A  close above 14,200 would be a possible indicator to add to long positions as the index attempts a break through the recent high of 14,300.  A close below 13,800 would be a possible indicator to liquidate some long positions as you monitor major support at 13,500.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Precision Drilling breakout above $12 resistance level

Can Precision Drilling (PD) hold the new support level of $12?
Daily Candlestick chart for Precision Drilling showing the breakout above resistance at $12

Precision Drilling Daily Chart

The most important points to note in the Precision Drilling (PD) chart analysis are:

  • The major trend, intermediate trend and near-term trend are all up.
  • The 40 day moving average is a good approximation of the trend line.
  • Always trade in the direction of the trend.
  • There was a breakout above resistance of $12.
  • Major support is now $12.
  • The reversal of resistance to support is an important principle in technical analysis.
  • The breakout was on above average volume.
  • Trading volume measures the force behind the move.
  • On balance volume is confirming the upward trend.
  • The MACD confirmed the breakout.

If an online trader made a buy on the breakout at $12.50, the trader must set up a stop-loss at that time.  A reasonable stop-loss would be below support at $12.  A stop-loss of $11.87 would represent a loss of around 5% and maybe not close enough  that it would be taken out on a light test of support. Anyway, you will be around to trade another day.  Risk management is an important concept in online trading.  Preservation of capital is rule #1.

Precision Drilling is a leading provider of oilfield services.

Other stocks analyzed on this site include: Encana, SuncorRioCan, BMO, Shoppers Drug Mart, Pfizer, BCE and Patriot Coal.

Investors are seeking yield.  RioCan has been a favorite with institutional and individual Canadian investors.

Suncor candlestick chart analysis

Bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on the weekly chart.
Suncor weekly chart shows the bearish engulfing candlestick pattern with support at the 50 day moving average and major support at $40

Suncor 2-Year Weekly Chart

The previous post of the chart analysis for Suncor was based on the daily candlesticks.  This analysis is based on the weekly chart and shows the same information from a different viewpoint.  Current support is at the 40 to 50 day moving average with major support at $40.  We do not want to see Suncor close below support at $40.00.

This is not the best looking chart over the two-year period: the major trend has been sideways.

Fundamental data for Suncor to complete your evaluation of this TSX listed stock.

Some of the other Canadian stocks that have been featured include: Encana, Precision Drilling, Riocan, BMO, Shoppers Drug Mart, and  BCE.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years.

Copyright © TradeOnline.ca All rights reserved

Positive market reaction to RioCan quarterly results

How did the market react to the Riocan quarterly results?

It does not matter what I think about the results and it does not matter what you think about the results.  The only thing that counts is the market reaction: the candlestick chart shows graphically that the reaction was positive. The next question: what will be your reaction to these results?

Six month daily candlestick chart for Riocan showing the raction ot the quarterly results

6 Month Daily Chart for RioCan

Online trading strategy: RioCan (rei.un) yields 5.69% at the current price.  The stock had a good run from a low of $11.50 in March, 2009 as both small investors and institutional players poured money into the REIT sector.  When you are getting practically nothing on your money left in a bank account, these yields looked very attractive.  And the current 2-year yield of 1.826% on Government of Canada Bonds is not exactly lucrative.  Money is still flowing into the real estate investment trust sector. Yes,  RioCan is still a buy at the $24 price level and the yield provides downside protection.  RioCan has a monthly distribution of $0.1150 which equals an annual distribution of $1.38.  I would be comfortable with a price target of $28 for this stock which equates to a yield of 4.93%.

RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust Announces Results for Fourth Quarter and Year Ended December 31, 2010. Link to the results and other excellent resources at TMX Money.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years.

Copyright © TradeOnline.ca All rights reserved

The trend is up for the S&P/TSX

The long-term trend, intermediate trend and the short-term trend are all up for the S&P/TSX as of Friday, February 18.

All the technical indicators look good. But, the market had a good run and I think it is overextended.  What will be the excuse to book profits? Investors are looking for a reason.

A 6 month candlestick chart for the S&P/TSX showing that the long-term, intermediate, and short-term trends are all up.

S&P/TSX 6-Month Daily Chart

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years.

Copyright © TradeOnline.ca All rights reserved

Bearish Engulfing Pattern for Shoppers Drug Mart

Shoppers Drug Mart could not break $41.

Your online trading success does not depend on your predictions for the market: your success depends on your online trades in reaction to market signals.

Bearish Engulfing Pattern for Shoppers Drug Mart on the 3 month daily candlestick chart

 

Updated article on Shoppers published in the National Post on March 30, 2011: Expanded Shoppers Drug services could help earnings, analyst says.

Please reference three previous posts on Shoppers Drug Mart.

  1. Shooting star candlestick for Shoppers Drug Mart
  2. Shoppers Drug Mart (SC) breaks resistance at $40
  3. Shoppers Drug Mart –  Bullish white candlestick