Tag Archives: DJIA

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Can the Dow Jones Industrial Average hold above 16,700?
Daily candlestick chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Dow Jones Industrial Average courtesy of StockCharts.com

This will be a big week for the Dow Jones Industrial Average:

  1. U.S. jobs report on Friday
  2. Tentative but key support level at 16,700
  3. Index in all-time high territory
  4. Major, intermediate and near-term trends are up

Reference the last chart analysis for index.

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“Always trade in the direction of the major trend”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Dow Jones Industrial Average chart

Will there be a breakout or a double top?
Dow Jones Industrial Average chart and a major test at the May high of 16735

Dow Jones Industrial Average Daily Chart

The major trend, intermediate trend and near-term trend are all up. On Balance Volume (OBV) is confirming the uptrend. And the DOW is trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages.

The Dow Jones Industrial Index is testing a major resistance point.

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“Always trade in the direction of the major trend”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Dow Jones Industrial Average candlestick chart

DOW could not hold the Monday breakout
Dow Jones Industrial Average could not hold above the breakout level.

Dow Jones Industrial Index Daily Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Reference my post on Monday when the Dow Jones Industrial Index broke above major resistance to an all-time high.  At that time, I penciled in the new support level of 16,600. The important point from the above chart is that the breakout failed to hold and this was a significant breakout. The 16,600 level is back again to the resistance point and support is around the 50-day simple moving average of 16,400. Caution is advised as the near-term uptrend is over and taking some money off the table maybe prudent at this point. But, and there is always a but, the major uptrend is still in effect for the Dow as approximated by the 200-day simple moving average.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

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“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Dow Jones Industrial Average bar chart

All-time closing high and new support level for the DOW
Chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing the all-time high and the new support level.

DJIA 1-Year Bar Chart

I have penciled in the the new support level of 16,600 for the Dow. This was the previous resistance level and the reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis. But always use time and percentage filters to confirm the breakout. On a time basis, if the Dow can hold above 16,600 for two days we have a new support level.

It was a strong day for the Dow in terms of the price action: closed near the high of the day.

On a volume basis, the volume was relatively low on the breakout. This could raise concerns because volume is the fuel that will drive the advance in an index or stock. But volume is not necessary to confirm a downtrend. A stock can fall with it own weight and relatively small volume.

I have concerns with the momentum indicators that I will elaborate on in another post.

As you can see, there is no sure thing in technical analysis. Just assigned probabilities.

Enjoy your trading day. If you don’t enjoy your avocation or vocation, then it is not worth doing.

Reference the last chart analysis for the Dow.

______________________________

“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Technical Analysis: Dow Jones Industrial Average

Near-term uptrend with major resistance at 16600

Near-term uptrend for Dow Jones Industrial Average with major resistance at 16600.

There are three trends: major trend, intermediate trend and near-term trend. The major trend is up, the intermediate trend is sideways and the near-term trend in up.

Note the divergence and downtrend for MACD.

Conclusion: the Dow Jones Industrial Index will meet heavy resistance at 16600. Always trade in the direction of the major trend but in this case a little caution is warranted.

______________________________

“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Technical Analysis for Dow Jones Industrial Average

Bullish shaven head candlestick — first trading day of 2013
Bullish shaven head candlestick for the DJIA on the first trading day of 2013.

DJIA 6-Month Candlestick Chart

The tall bullish shaven head and shaven bottom candlestick is a graphical representation of the euphoria after a deal on the so-called fiscal cliff. It was excellent follow through for the bullish engulfing pattern of December 31. The market teetered at major support on December 27 and 28 when a deal was less than certain.

Technical analysis is all about assessing probabilities and there is a high probability that the Dow will test major resistance of 13,600. But there is a a lot of froth in this market as represented by the VIX and it can turn on a dime. The VIX has fallen 35.4 percent over the past two sessions, the biggest 2-day percentage drop in the history of the index. The next big news event is the employment report this Friday.

I would like to see the 10-Year U.S. Treasury close convincingly above 1.900% as confirmation that the Dow and S&P500 would have a chance to continue the near-term uptrend.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

DJIA candlestick chart analysis

Bullish engulfing candlestick pattern — last trading day of 2012
Candlestick chart analysis for the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern for the last trading day of 2012.

DJIA 6-Month Daily Chart

Reference the last chart analysis published on December 27, 2012 showing the hammer candlestick line.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca