GLD is officially in bear market territory (-20% from a high) as the $143.95 close is a drop of 22.5% from the September, 2011 high of $185.85. And then we have the break below major support of 150. The next support level is 140.
I don’t care about reasons for the price of goal. There are people who make a living writing about the multitude of reasons for the slide in gold. I just follow the chart until it indicates a bottom. Reasons are irrelevant.
Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.
The above charts provide a long-term perspective for gold. The first chart shows the pricing for SPDR Gold ETF (ticker:GLD) for the period 2005 to 2012 in the logarithmic scale. The second smaller chart extends the date range from 1974 to 2012 and shows the actual price of gold in U.S. dollars in the linear scale.
There are two generally accepted principles in technical analysis: (1) individual stocks and broad indexes move in trends, and (2) the trend will continue until there is evidence to the contrary. How is this relevant for gold? The long-term trend for gold is up and is currently trading in a major and intermediate lateral trading band. And the near-term trend is down. Given the assumption that the long-term uptrend will continue for gold, a breakout above resistance of 174 and 185 (ticker:GLD) would confirm the continuation of the long-term uptrend. On the contrary, a break below support of 150 (ticker:GLD) would raise a red flag for the continuation of the uptrend.
Significant dates in modern gold history:
August, 1971: Then-U.S. President Richard Nixon takes the U.S. dollar off the gold standard, which had been in place with minor modifications since the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944 fixed the conversion rate for one Troy ounce of gold at $35 (U.S.).
March, 1973: Most major countries adopt floating-exchange-rate system.
January, 1980: Gold hits record high of $850 an ounce.
August, 1999: Gold falls to a low of $251.70.
November, 2004: SPDR Gold Shares ETF launched
November, 2005: Spot gold breaches $500 for the first time since December 1987.
May, 2006: Gold prices peak at $730 an ounce.
November, 2007: Spot gold hits a 28-year high of $845.40 an ounce.
March, 2008: Benchmark gold contract trades over $1,000 for the first time in U.S. futures market.
September, 2008: Spot gold rises by nearly $90 an ounce, a record one-day gain.
September, 2010: Gold prices reach $1,300 an ounce.
September, 2011: Gold prices hit a high of $1,895 USD/oz
Note: The above chart analysis is valid as of the publication date. To review current charts click on Home or perform a search. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.