Tag Archives: intermediate trend

Technical Analysis: Gold

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A 2.25% pop for GOLD today but……….
Daily chart for gold showing the 2.25% pop today. Relative weakness in the U.S. dollar today and short covering are two possible reasons for the pop today. But the major trend is down and the intermediate trend is down. Gold will meet heavy resistance at 1,200.


Gold Daily Chart

Daily chart for gold showing the 2.25% pop today. Relative weakness in the U.S. dollar today and short covering are two possible reasons for the pop. But the major trend is down and the intermediate trend is down. Gold will meet heavy resistance at 1,200.

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And the view from the weekly chart for gold
Weekly chart for gold showing the intermediate downtrend with support and resistance levels.

Gold 3-Year Weekly Chart

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Long uphill road ahead for the gold miners
Chart showing the pop in the gold miners.

GDX Weekly Chart

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Shorts covered today but will be back
DZZ PowerShares double short for gold.

DZZ PowerShares DB Gold Double Short ETN Daily Chart

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“Keep it Simple!”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

WTI candlestick chart

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Intermediate downtrend for WTI and a major break below 80
Chart for West Texas Intermediate showing the intermediate downtrend and the major break below support of 80. There is a tentative support level on the weekly chart at 77.50.

WTI Daily Chart

Chart for West Texas Intermediate showing the intermediate downtrend and the major break below support of 80. There is a tentative support level on the weekly chart around 77.50.

Reference the last chart analysis for WTI published on October 17, 2014.

October 17, 2014: Daily candlestick chart for WTI showing the support level around 80. There was heavy volume on Thursday as the shorts covered. But the spinning top candlestick on Friday indicates ambivalence. It is not the time to go long or short. We will have to monitor future price action. There is a high probability the bears will take another run at testing the support level.

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View from the weekly chart
Weekly chart for WTI

WTI 3-Year Weekly Chart

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“It is all about probabilities”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2014 TradeOnline.ca

WTI and Brent 3-year weekly line chart

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Brent down 26% from June! WTI will test 80 and Brent 83?

Intermediate downtrend for WTI and Brent.

WTI and Brent 3-year Weekly Chart

Reference the last chart analysis for WTI and Brent published on Oct 8, 2014.

Reference my chart analysis published February 5, 2013 for historical numbers.

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“Keep it Simple!”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

U.S. Treasury 10 Year Note Yield Chart (2010-2014)

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Intermediate downtrend with support at 2.40%
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Note Yield Chart showing the intermediate downtrend with support at 2.40%.

U.S. Treasury 10 Year Note Weekly Yield Chart

Geopolitical concerns are one reason for the intermediate downtrend in the treasury yield.

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“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Technical Analysis: Dow Jones Industrial Average

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Near-term uptrend with major resistance at 16600

Near-term uptrend for Dow Jones Industrial Average with major resistance at 16600.

There are three trends: major trend, intermediate trend and near-term trend. The major trend is up, the intermediate trend is sideways and the near-term trend in up.

Note the divergence and downtrend for MACD.

Conclusion: the Dow Jones Industrial Index will meet heavy resistance at 16600. Always trade in the direction of the major trend but in this case a little caution is warranted.

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“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Copper 1-year daily bar chart

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Copper near-term uptrend and resistance zone
Copper chart showing the near-term uptrend and the resistance zone.

Copper 1-Year Daily Bar Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The major trend is down, the intermediate trend is sideways and the near-term trend is up. I am focusing on the near-term trend (last three weeks) in this analysis. The near-term trend is up and the resistance zone is identified on the above chart. A break above the resistance zone would indicate a target of $3.80. The price of copper is a good proxy for the growth in the world economy:in particular for China. A breakout above the resistance zone would bode well for the TSX Index which has a relatively large weighting in base metal stocks. A failure for copper to breakout above the resistance zone would indicate that the TSX Index will not breakout above the 13,500 resistance level.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper based on the weekly chart.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

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“It is not when you buy that counts, it is when you sell”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Natural Gas candlestick chart analysis

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Intermediate uptrend for natural gas approaching major resistance
Intermediate uptrend for natural gas approaching major resistance.

Natural Gas Weekly Chart

Peyto Exploration & Development is a good proxy for the movement in the price of natural gas. View the chart for this junior oil company which is positively correlated with the price of natural gas. A big natural gas player, Encana, barely moved in response to the upward movement in natural gas. View the chart for Encana: not a pretty picture.

Relevant articles picked from the web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Intermediate uptrend continues for S&P 500 Index

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New support level of 1,470 for S&P 500
Chart analysis for the S&P 500 Index showing the intermediate uptrend and the new support level of 1,470. RSI and volume are the confirming the uptrend.

S&P 500 6-Month Daily Candlestick Chart

The trend, rsi and volume indicate the index has a chance at the all-time high of 1,565.15 reached on October 9, 2007. But the first test will be 1,500 which is a significant round number. On the reverse side, a break below support of 1,470 would be a strong indicator to liquidate long positions.

Reference the last chart analysis for S&P 500 posted January 4, 2013

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca