Tag Archives: major support

Canadian dollar candlestick chart

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Maybe a bottom for the Canadian dollar at $0.9400
Three year weekly chart for the Canadian dollar showing major support at $0.9400.

Canadian dollar weekly chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The major trend is down, the intermediate trend is down and the near-term trend is down for the Canadian dollar. It is trading below the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages. But in all this negativity, there is a glimmer of hope—depends on your perspective—that the bottom is $0.9400. This was a support point back in October, 2011 and the hammer is an indication of a bottom. But never trade the bottom: you know the adage about never trying to catch a falling knife.

Reference the last analysis for the TSX Index and take a look at the performance of the materials sector. Then take a look at the chart for copper. The Canadian dollar can never escape the fact that it is a commodity currency.

Canada has some nice pizza restaurants and great ski hills: it is not all about copper and oil.

Reference relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Death Cross for the TSX Index

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50 Day moving average crosses below 200 Day moving average
Weekly candlestick chart for the TSX Index showing the 50 day moving average crossing below the 200 day moving average. This is called a death cross. Yes, the TSX has a negative technical profile.

TSX Weekly Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The above chart identifies support zones for the TSX. What more can I say about the chart: the TSX has a negative technical profile.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Should you invest in the TSX?

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TSX Index could not hold the old trading range
TSX Index daily candlestick chart showing the near-term downtrend. A shooting star candlestick is identified on the chart.

TSX Index Daily Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The TSX Index could not hold support of 12,600 in the old lateral trading range. Will the near-term downtrend stop at the support level of 12,300? If not, the TSX will move down to the support level of 12,000.

Should you invest in the TSX? The above chart is your answer. Now take a look at another chart.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) logarithmic chart analysis

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A break below major support of 150
A break below major support of 150 on the weekly chart for the GLD ETF.

GLD ETF 5-Year Weekly Logarithmic Chart

GLD is officially in bear market territory (-20% from a high) as the $143.95 close is a drop of 22.5% from the September, 2011 high of $185.85. And then we have the break below major support of 150. The next support level is 140.

I don’t care about reasons for the price of goal. There are people who make a living writing about the multitude of reasons for the slide in gold. I just follow the chart until it indicates a bottom. Reasons are irrelevant.

Reference the last chart analysis for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis

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TSX Index must hold support zone or it will test 11,800
TSX Index in a near-term downtrend and must hold the support zone or it will test 11,800.

TSX Index Daily Candlestick Chart

The last chart analysis for the TSX Index showed it stuck in a lateral trading band with support at 12,600 and resistance at 12,900. That all ended on Wednesday in a big way when the tall dark candlestick crashed through two support levels: 12,600 and 12,500. The trading action today confirmed the near-term downtrend with an open and close below the close for the ominous tall dark candlestick.

The TSX Index now has a new major resistance level of 12,500 (reversal of roles) which was a prior major support level.

The support zone is based on three points:

  1. A 50% retracement of the November intermediate move which would be 12,350
  2. The 200 day moving average at 12,269
  3. The old support level of 12,200

If the TSX Index cannot hold the support zone, there is a high probability of a test of the November low around 11,800.

If you read my previous posts, this surprise drop on Wednesday should come as no surprise. Material and oil related stocks, which represent 45% of the TSX Index, have performed very poorly. Reference a recent post on Dr. Copper.

U.S. Jobs Report will move the market on Friday: most likely to the downside.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index daily bar chart analysis

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TSX Index has a new support level and a chance to test 12,800
TSX Index chart analysis showing the new support level of 12,500 and a chance to test resistance of 12,800.

TSX Index 1-Year Daily Bar Chart

The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis. Yes, I am ready to declare a new support level of 12,500 and a chance for the TSX to test resistance 12,800.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index showing the resistance level of 12,500.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index: A dismal technical profile

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Stuck in a lateral trading range
TSX Index bar chart shows the inability of the index to breakout of the lateral trading range.

TSX Index 1 Year Bar Cahrt

The lateral trading range sets the limits where the short-term traders will buy and take profits. This is a profitable trading strategy if you are nimble and have the proper trading systems in place. The recent high of 11,900 is an obvious resistance point and the even number of 12,000 near the 200 day moving average will be a key recent point.

What do we have to see for the intermediate period trader? The TSX Index will have to make a confirmed break above 12,000 to have a chance for a run at 12,800. A confirmed break using a filter of 2% would be 12,240 that holds for two days which is the time filter. This is a guideline to guide you in your trading decisions. Technical analysis is not infallible as the markets are governed by the human emotions of greed and fear. And these are powerful forces which can produce severe gyrations in the market.

Always trade in the direction of the prevailing trend. What is the major trend for the TSX Index? What is the intermediate trend? What is the near-term trend? You decide and make the appropriate trading decision. It is your money.

Reference the last chart analysis of the TSX Index posted on July 6, 2012.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts with other technical indicators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca

Dismal technical profile for the TSX Index

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Waiting for a resolution of the lateral trading range
TSX Index chart analysis showing the lateral trading range.

TSX Index Daily Bar Chart

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

______________________________

Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2012 TradeOnline.ca