Tag Archives: oil

WTI will test major resistance of $45 with $50 in the cards

So far, April was a good month for the oil bulls
  1. WTI was able to hold major support at $35
  2. Breakout above the 40-week (200-day) moving average
  3. Breakout above resistance of $40
  4. $40  is now the current  support zone
  5. $45 is the current resistance zone
  6. $50 is the intermediate target and major resistance zone
WTI will test resistance around $45

WTI 2-Year Weekly Candlestick Chart

Reference my April 12, 2016 post for WTI.

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“Technical Analysis is about probabilities.”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

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Canadian oil stocks move above the 200-day moving average

Major downtrend with near-term uptrend with resistance at $12
Canadian oil stocks as represented by the XEG ETF move above the 200-day moving average E

XEG 3-Year Weekly Chart

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“Technical Analysis is about probabilities.”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2016 TradeOnline.ca

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U.S. oil rig count and WTI spot price

The U.S. oil-directed rig count totaled nearly 1,600 rigs in the fall of 2014. However, the decline in oil prices over the past 18 months has reduced drilling activity, with just 413 rigs operating as of February 19, 2016

Low oil prices and reduced capital expenditure for drilling new wells have been reflected in declining crude oil production in the United States since May 2015, despite the continuing increase in initial production rates of the new wells that were still being drilled and completed. Oil production from new wells has so far been able to keep U.S. crude oil production from falling significantly below its level in late 2014. However, EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects that U.S. oil production will decline over the next two years, falling to 8.7 million b/d in 2016 and to 8.2 million b/d in 2017.

http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=25472

______________________________

“Technical Analysis is about probabilities.”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2016 TradeOnline.ca

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Hydraulic fracturing accounts for about half of U.S. oil production

Even though hydraulic fracturing has been in use for more than six decades, it has only recently been used to produce a significant portion of crude oil in the United States. This technique, often used in combination with horizontal drilling, has allowed the United States to increase its oil production faster than at any time in its history. Based on the most recent available data from states, EIA estimates that oil production from hydraulically fractured wells now makes up about half of total U.S. crude oil production.

http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=25372

______________________________

“Technical Analysis is about probabilities.”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2016 TradeOnline.ca

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World Liquid Fuels Production and Consumption Balance

The following chart provides a graphical perspective on the liquid fuels production and consumption balance. With all the daily bantering on the networks, the chart provides a base case for a general overview of the imbalance. You can click on the link below the chart for a detailed review of the data and assumptions used in the construction of the chart. Draw your own conclusions and trade accordingly.

Global oil inventories are forecast to increase by an annual average of 1.6 million b/d in 2016 and by an additional 0.6 million b/d in 2017. These inventory builds are larger than previously expected, delaying the rebalancing of the oil market and contributing to lower forecast oil prices. Compared with last month's STEO, EIA has revised forecast supply growth higher for 2016 and revised forecast demand growth lower for both 2016 and 2017. Higher 2016 supply in this month's STEO is based on indications that production is more resilient to lower prices than previously expected. Notably, revisions to historical Russian data, which raised the baseline for Russian production, carry through much of the forecast. Additionally, lower expectations for global economic growth contributed to a reduction in the oil demand forecast.

https://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/report/global_oil.cfm

______________________________

“Technical Analysis is about probabilities.”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2016 TradeOnline.ca

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iShares (XEG) S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF

Daily chart of XEG showing the near-term uptrend and the breakout above the 10.00 resistance level. Momentum indicators and volume are confirming the move. But, the major trend and the intermediate trend are both down as you can see on the weekly chart which is below this one.

XEG 6-Month Daily Chart showing near-term uptrend

XEG 6-Month Daily Chart

The iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF seeks to provide long-term capital growth by replicating, to the extent possible, the performance of the S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index, net of expenses.

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Weekly chart for XEG showing that the major trend and the intermediate trend are both down. XEG will meet heavy resistance around 11 which is near the 40-week moving average.

XEG 3-Year Weekly Chart

XEG 3-Year Weekly Chart

______________________________

“Technical Analysis is about probabilities.”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2016 TradeOnline.ca

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West Texas Intermediate closes below $38 a barrel

West Texas Intermediate 6-Month Daily Chart showing the close below $38 a barrel

West Texas Intermediate 6-Month Daily Chart

December 2, 2015: Reference the last chart analysis for West Texas Intermediate.

October 26, 2015: High probability WTI will test the major support zone

September 15, 2015: Bearish descending triangle forming on the daily chart

______________________________

“Technical Analysis is about probabilities.”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2015 TradeOnline.ca

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