Tag Archives: resistance

Potash (POT) chart analysis

A closure of the window for Potash
One year daily chart for Potash showing the intermediate uptrend.

Potash 1-Year Daily Chart

Potash will report fourth quarter and year-end results on January 30, 2014

Potash Corp. in solid position despite falling prices — FP — Jan 21, 2013

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“It is not when you buy that counts, it is when you sell”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2014 TradeOnline.ca

Intel (INTC) chart analysis

Breakout for Intel above resistance of $26.00
Breakout for Intel above resistance of $26.00

Intel (INTC) 3-Year Weekly Chart

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

Intel Inside Your Portfolio? It Should Be — Barrons — January 16, 2014

Intel Slips: Q4 Rev Beats, EPS $0.51/Sh Misses; Q1 Rev View In Line

Intel plans to report fourth-quarter earnings on January 16, 2014

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“It is not when you buy that counts, it is when you sell”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2014 TradeOnline.ca

Alcoa (AA) logarithmic chart

Intermediate uptrend for Alcoa with resistance at $11.00
Weekly chart for Alcoa showing the intermediate uptrend with resistance at $11.00.  The chart shows OBV, RSI and volume.

Alcoa 4-Year Weekly Logarithmic Chart courtesy of BigCharts.com

With a 41% gain from the July low and concerns over the top line growth, you would expect profit taking at the $11.00 resistance level.

Reference some excerpts from the fourth quarter release:

Fourth quarter 2013 revenue was $5.6 billion, compared with $5.8 billion sequentially, and $5.9 billion in fourth quarter 2012, as realized aluminum prices declined 1 percent sequentially, and 7 percent year-over-year.

Revenue in 2013 was $23.0 billion, compared to $23.7 billion in 2012 as realized aluminum prices declined 4 percent year-over-year.

In 2014, Alcoa projects global growth in the aerospace (7 percent to 8 percent), automotive (1 percent to 4 percent), packaging (2 percent to 3 percent), and building and construction (4 percent to 6 percent) markets. After a strong 2013, Alcoa projects a steady commercial transportation market (-1 percent to 3 percent), and a decline in the industrial gas turbine market (-8 percent to -12 percent) on lower orders for new gas turbines and spare parts.

Alcoa sees global aluminum demand growth of 7 percent in 2014, after 7 percent growth in 2013.

______________________________

“It is not when you buy that counts, it is when you sell”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2014 TradeOnline.ca

U.S. Treasury 10-Year Yield Chart

3.00% is a key resistance point
The key resistance point for the 10-year Treasury is 3.00% with an indicated intermediate target of 3.80% on a breakout.

10-Year Treasury Yield

The 10-year Treasury closed at 2.924% today as it moves closer to the key resistance point of 3.00%. A breakout above this resistance point would indicate a target of 3.80%.

Reference my last chart analysis of the 10-yeat Treasury.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Copper 1-year daily bar chart

Copper near-term uptrend and resistance zone
Copper chart showing the near-term uptrend and the resistance zone.

Copper 1-Year Daily Bar Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

The major trend is down, the intermediate trend is sideways and the near-term trend is up. I am focusing on the near-term trend (last three weeks) in this analysis. The near-term trend is up and the resistance zone is identified on the above chart. A break above the resistance zone would indicate a target of $3.80. The price of copper is a good proxy for the growth in the world economy:in particular for China. A breakout above the resistance zone would bode well for the TSX Index which has a relatively large weighting in base metal stocks. A failure for copper to breakout above the resistance zone would indicate that the TSX Index will not breakout above the 13,500 resistance level.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper based on the weekly chart.

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

______________________________

“It is not when you buy that counts, it is when you sell”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis: TSX Index Daily Chart

High probability TSX Index will test support of 12,900
Tall shaven head and bottom candlestick does not bode well for the TSX Index.  High probability the index will test major support of 12,900.

TSX Index 7 Month Daily Candlestick Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Technical analysis is all about evaluating probabilities. There are no sure things when you evaluate a chart: just guideposts. In the near-term, the above chart indicates a high probability that the TSX Index will test support of 12,900. And there is a low probability that the index will break resistance of 13,500.

Here are the negative points from the above chart:

  1. Tall shaven head and bottom candlestick on the chart today
  2. The 10-Day SMA crossed below the 20-Day SMA
  3. The volume was average today but volume does not have to confirm a downtrend
  4. RSI is confirming the downtrend
  5. Notice the divergence when RSI did not confirm the November high

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index showing the performance by sectors.

Reference the last chart analysis for copper which has a major impact on the materials sector.

Reference the breakout for the TSX above resistance on October 18, 2013. This is now the support zone on the above chart. The reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis.

Reference the importance of the 12,900 support zone which was a a area of consolidation back to early 2012.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis

TSX Index has another shot at breaking resistance of 12,900
TSX Index chart analysis showing a bullish white candlestick today and another chance to break resistance of 12,900.

TSX Index 6 Month Daily Chart

Reference the last chart analysis for the TSX Index.

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Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2013 TradeOnline.ca