Tag Archives: Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis: Suncor (SU:TSX)

Breakout for Suncor with two bullish white candlesticks
Suncor (SU:TSX) technical analysis based on the daily candlestick chart with a breakout at $35.00.  Two bullish white candlesticks are identified on above average volume.  RSI and OBV are confirming the intermediate uptrend.

Suncor Six Month Candlestick Chart

A key point in the above analysis is the reversal of roles from resistance to support. $35.00 was the identified resistance level on the last chart analysis. It is now support.

Reference the last chart analysis for Suncor which was also based on the daily chart.

Reference the website for Suncor to review the fundamental data for the company.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis: Precision Drilling (PD:TSX)

Near-term uptrend for Precision Drilling will meet resistance at $11.50
Precision Drilling chart analysis showing the downward sloping trendline and a near-term uptrend.

Precision Drilling Six Month Daily Chart

Precision Drilling reports fourth quarter results for 2011 on Thursday, February 9, 2012.

Reference my chart analysis for Precision Drilling posted October 12, 2011.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis: TSX Index candlestick chart

Spinning Top candlestick represents indecision for the TSX Index
Candlestick chart analysis for the TSX Index using the weekly chart.  The Spinning Top candlestick represents indecision for the week of January 23, 2012.

TSX Index Weekly Chart

Please review last weeks chart analysis for the TSX Index.

Relevant articles picked from the Web:

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

TSX Index analysis using the weekly candlestick chart

Intermediate trend is sideways for the TSX Index
TSX index chart analysis using the weekly chart.  The intermediate trend is sideways with a near-term uptrend.  The RSI continues to trade below 50.

TSX Index Three Year Chart

Reference the last chart analysis of the TSX Index: not much has changed.

Key points to ponder from the above chart are:

  • TSX Index has a negative technical profile
  • Trading below the 200 day moving average
  • Major trend is down
  • Intermediate trend is sideways
  • Near-term trend is up
  • Continues to hold support of 11,500
  • Closed above the 100 day moving average
  • RSI is below 50

Relevant articles picked from the Web

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis: TSX Index monthly logarithmic chart

TSX Index long-term chart to ponder the big picture

TSX Index chart analysis using the monthly logarithmic chart with major support and crossovers

TSX Index Monthly Logarithmic Chart

I analyze the long-term charts of the major indexes and proceed to the near-term charts. Reference the last chart analysis of the TSX Index based on the weekly chart.

When you invest, you are playing the odds: there is never a certain win in the markets.  At this stage, the odds of a major downside correction outweigh the upside.  It is prudent to stay on the sidelines with an above average cash position.

Relevant articles from the web:

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The main purpose of TradeOnline.ca is a starting point for your own chart analysis. Technical analysis serves as a guidepost in your daily investment analysis and is used in conjunction with fundamental analysis. There is no magic formula for making profits when you trade online in the stock market. We are all students of the market, and one should never give up reviewing and learning the basics. Visit the Advanced Chart Settings and customize BigCharts so you can review different time periods.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Technical Analysis: TSX Index candlestick chart

TSX Index in a consolidation range

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis showing a consolidation range

TSX Index Weekly Chart

The following are the key points from the above chart analysis:

  • The near-term trend is sideways.
  • Trading in a consolidation range.
  • Support is 12,000.
  • Resistance is 12,500.
  • Reference the Oct 3 post regarding major support of 11,000.
  • I explained the double top reversal pattern in the June 18 post.
  • Another post explaining the double top reversal pattern on May 6.
  • The April 24 post warned of the double top.
  • The possibility of a double top was raised in the April 14 post.

What is a reasonable trading strategy at this point in the market?

The TSX Index is trading in a near-term consolidation range as indicated on the chart. A neutral trading strategy with an above average cash position would be appropriate. A confirmed break (+2% for two days) above the 12,500 resistance level would be a reason to add cautiously to long positions. A confirmed break below support of 12,000 would be a reason to liquidate longs.

Past posts for the TSX Index provide continuity in the analysis:

Reference the last chart analysis dated Nov 4 for the TSX Index. This chart identified the harami cross candlestick pattern with a tweezers top. You can also review the TSX Index Category for a sequential listing of charts.

The following current articles are picks from the web:

Financial Post article dated Nov 12, 2011: Does anyone really want us to be financially savvy?

Financial Post article dated Nov 11, 2011: Mr. Market’s mood is picking up

Financial Post article dated Nov 11, 2011: Ride volatility with managed futures

Financial Post article dated Nov17, 2011: Run from debt to cash sparks sell off

______________________________

The main purpose of TradeOnline.ca is a starting point for your own chart analysis. Technical analysis serves as a guidepost in your daily investment analysis and is used in conjunction with fundamental analysis. There is no magic formula for making profits when you trade online in the stock market. We are all students of the market, and one should never give up reviewing and learning the basics. Visit the Advanced Chart Settings and customize BigCharts so you can review different time periods.

______________________________

Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Technical analysis for the TSX index

Critical support levels for the TSX Index

Technical analysis for the TSX Index using a three year candlestick chart highlighting major support and resistance levels

TSX Index Three-Year Weekly Candlestick Chart

The support level of 11,000 to 10,900 is based on a Fibonacci Retracement of 50% of the move from the March, 2009 low of 7500 to the April, 2011 high of 14,300. And it is also near the July, 2010 low of 11,065. This is a major support level!

The final support level of 10,000 is based on a Fibonacci Retracement of 61.8% of the move from the March, 2009 low of 7500 to the April, 2011 high of 14,300.

Please reference the previous chart analysis for the TSX Index.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Royal Bank (RY:TSX) chart analysis

Can the price close above the downward sloping trendline?
Royal Banks six-month candlestick chart analysis showing a downward sloping trendline indicated by the 40 day simple moving average.  Can the price break the trendline?

Royal Bank six-Month Candlestick Chart

Has the stock bottomed at the $44.00 level? In the above chart, the stock price for the Royal Bank declined 27% from an April high of $61.00 to a September low of $44.50 over a six month period. At this point, based on the extent of the decline (over 20%) and the time period (over six months), the odds increase that the stock has bottomed. Also, the low of $44.50 is a 50% retracement of the move from the February, 2009 low of $26.00 (view the 3-year weekly chart) to the high of $62.00 in May, 2010. Chart patterns that indicate a bottom take on more significance: it is all about having the odds in your favor. A candlestick pattern called a hammer is highlighted on the above chart. This pattern indicates a bottom and is followed by a bullish engulfing candlestick.

The key point for this chart analysis of the Royal Bank is that the price must make a significant close above the downward sloping trendline. This will be a confirming factor that the downtrend has ended: this applies to all stocks and indexes. My definition of significant is a 2% penetration of the trendline that holds for at least two days. This will indicate the start of a new uptrend or the start of a consolidation phase.

The next step is to monitor the confirming indicators of volume, on balance volume (OBV) and RSI. The volume should increase with the price move or the move is suspect. Volume measures the force behind the uptrend: an uptrend cannot be maintained without above average volume. The next confirming indicator is OBV and it must confirm the uptrend by trending higher. The last confirming indicator is RSI which must move above 50 and move in the direction of the uptrend.

It is always a good idea to have a grasp of the fundamentals for a company. The following is a summary of the bank earnings from Globe Investor: In order of reporting date, here is the final rundown for the latest earnings from the Canadian banks.

Please visit RBC Investor Relations for an overview of the fundamentals for this bank.

Globe and Mail article dated Oct 14, 2011: Hedge funds take aim at Canadian banks

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.