Tag Archives: Technical Analysis

Will the TSX index hold major support?

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Still an ominous chart pattern for the TSX index

Six month daily chart of the tsx index showing a double top with major support and resistance, and confirming indicators of MACD, volume and OBV

Six-Month Daily Chart of the TSX Index

Reference the previous analysis of the TSX Index.

Reference my chart settings for Bigcharts and practice using candlesticks with the confirming indicators.

Update for June 11, 2011: TSX index did not hold major support.  Time to reference the previous weekly chart analysis for the TSX which highlights the downside risk.  Obviously, a relatively high cash position—above 50%—is prudent at this stage in the market.

If the U.S. economy doesn’t rebound solidly, if the European debt crisis worsens, or if China, India or Brazil hits a more-serious speed bump, it will come as a nasty shock to a lot of people, and could send stocks down a lot lower.

Read more………… Dow’s Sixth Straight Down Week Fuels Concern Over More Severe Declines Ahead – WSJ

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Dundee REIT (D.UN:TSX) candlestick chart analysis

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Dundee Real Estate Investment Trust in an uptrend
Technical analysis of Dundee REIT using the 3-year candlestick weekly chart showing the stock in an uptrend

Dundee REIT (D.UN:TSX) Three-Year Weekly Chart

Reference the previous chart analysis for Dundee REIT.

Update July 21, 2011: Dundee grabs office buildings

Update January 24, 2012: ScotiaPlaza sale should provide boost to REITs

TSX Index candlestick chart analysis

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What is the downside risk for the TSX Index?
Candlestick chart analysis for the tsx index showing the downside risk based on the double top and retracement levels.

2-Year Candlestick Chart of the TSX Index

What are the key points from the above chart of the TSX?

  • There is the possibility of a double top at 14,300.
  • Major support on the weekly chart is 13,500. Reference the previous chart.
  • I use a two-day time filter and a 2% penetration rule based on the closing prices.
  • 13,500 will become resistance if the TSX closes below 13,500 using the above filters.
  • 13,200 (near the March 7 retracement of 13,250) would then become major support.
  • Using the above filters, a closing price of around 12,900 would confirm a double top.
  • The downside risk would then be around 12,200.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

© 2011 TradeOnline.ca

Technical analysis of the TSX Index

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TSX Index in consolidation mode
Three year candlestick chart analysis of the tsx index showing support and resistance so you can trade online using these indicators to make your online trading decisions.

3-Year Chart of the TSX Index

Reference last weeks analysis which was also a consolidation story for the TSX Index. This is in stark contrast to the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq Composite Index which are in an uptrend.

Also reference the most recent analysis of the TSX  based on the daily candlestick chart which identified the possibility of  a double top.

When trading online, you always deal in probabilities.  And the probability of a downside correction is greater than an upside breakout.  It has been a good run for the TSX  Index.

Read the National Post article: Now’s the time to diversify away from Canada.

TSX candlestick chart analysis

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Can the S&P/TSX index break resistance of 14,300?
Three year candlestick analysis of the weekly chart for the tsx index showing volume, support and resistance levels.

TSX 3-Year Weekly Candlestick Chart

What are the key points to note on this  chart of the TSX index?

  1. Major resistance on the candlestick chart is 14, 300.
  2. The index could not close above 14,300 on two attempts.
  3. Is this the start of a double top formation on the weekly chart?
  4. Support on the weekly chart for the TSX is 13,500.
  5. Is the index moving into a consolidation pattern?
  6. Notice how the bullish engulfing pattern signaled the start of the uptrend in March, 2009.
  7. Did you board the train in March, 2009?  I was aboard with rest stops along the way.
  8. Candlestick chart formations indicated where you could disembark the train for rest stops.
  9. The bullish piercing pattern in July, 2010  indicated that the train was leaving the station again.
  10. Now, the train is at the station.  When will it leave?  And, in what direction?

Reference the previous chart analysis of the TSX index.

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) candlestick chart

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Positive reaction to the earnings release for Johnson & Johnson
Candlestick chart with technical indicators confirming a positive reaction to the first-quarter results for 2011

J&J 6-Month Daily Candlestick Chart

The key points from the above chart are:

  • Positive reaction to the first-quarter results.
  • There was above-average volume on the breakout above $61.00.
  • A window which is a continuation pattern appeared on the candlestick chart.
  • The window will act as support on any pullback.
  • If the window is closed, it will nullify the near-term uptrend.
  • The MACD is confirming the near-term uptrend.
  • The 10-day moving average is confirming the uptrend.
  • The 20-day moving average is confirming the uptrend.
  • The near-term target is $65.00
  • Support is $61.00 if the window is closed.

You can input the advanced chart settings for BigCharts and view the 3-year chart for JNJ.

Reference the Johnson & Johnson website for the fundamental data on the company.  Reference Fox Business for a profile of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).

Beyond the cliff, dividends, M&A beckon for big pharma is a recent article from the Financial Post.

April 27, 2011 update: Johnson & Johnson is to buy Swiss medical devices maker Synthes Incfor 19 billion Swiss francs (US$21.59 billion) in its largest ever buy, boosting its surgical business and reshaping the wider industry.

May 27, 2011 update: J&J Now the “Best Biotech Play”, Says Goldman

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Note: This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The chart snippets are from BigCharts.com which I recommend and have used for fifteen years. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.