May 292014
 
Intermediate downtreand for U.S. Treasury Note
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Note Yield Chart will test major support of 2.40%.

U.S. Treasury 10 Year Note Yield Chart

The main points from the above chart for the U.S. Treasury 10 Year Note Yield are the the intermediate downtrend and major support at 2.40%.

Reference the last post for the U.S. Treasury.

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“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

May 152014
 
DOW could not hold the Monday breakout
Dow Jones Industrial Average could not hold above the breakout level.

Dow Jones Industrial Index Daily Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Reference my post on Monday when the Dow Jones Industrial Index broke above major resistance to an all-time high.  At that time, I penciled in the new support level of 16,600. The important point from the above chart is that the breakout failed to hold and this was a significant breakout. The 16,600 level is back again to the resistance point and support is around the 50-day simple moving average of 16,400. Caution is advised as the near-term uptrend is over and taking some money off the table maybe prudent at this point. But, and there is always a but, the major uptrend is still in effect for the Dow as approximated by the 200-day simple moving average.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

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“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

May 122014
 
All-time closing high and new support level for the DOW
Chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing the all-time high and the new support level.

DJIA 1-Year Bar Chart

I have penciled in the the new support level of 16,600 for the Dow. This was the previous resistance level and the reversal of roles is an important concept in technical analysis. But always use time and percentage filters to confirm the breakout. On a time basis, if the Dow can hold above 16,600 for two days we have a new support level.

It was a strong day for the Dow in terms of the price action: closed near the high of the day.

On a volume basis, the volume was relatively low on the breakout. This could raise concerns because volume is the fuel that will drive the advance in an index or stock. But volume is not necessary to confirm a downtrend. A stock can fall with it own weight and relatively small volume.

I have concerns with the momentum indicators that I will elaborate on in another post.

As you can see, there is no sure thing in technical analysis. Just assigned probabilities.

Enjoy your trading day. If you don’t enjoy your avocation or vocation, then it is not worth doing.

Reference the last chart analysis for the Dow.

______________________________

“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.

Apr 102014
 
Major uptrend for Natural Gas with support around $4.50
Major uptrend for natural gas with support around $4.50

Natural Gas 3-Year Chart

Major uptrend for natural gas with support around $4.50

Encana is the big player in this space in the Canadian market. Reference my chart for Encana.

SHORT-TERM ENERGY AND SUMMER FUELS OUTLOOK

 

Percent-of-electricity-generated-from-nonhydro-renewals

About 6.2% of total U.S. electricity supplies in 2013 were generated from nonhydro renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, biomass, and geothermal, up from 5.4% in 2012. But 11 states produced electricity at more than twice the national average from these sources—accounting for between 14% and 32% of their net electric generation—according to preliminary 2013 generation data in EIA's Electric Power Monthly report.

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“Keep it Simple”

Note: Click on HOME for updated postings. This technical analysis is for educational purposes so you can learn to trade online using candlestick charts and other technical indicators including volume, moving averages and oscillators. Please conduct your own chart analysis or consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author of this article may hold long or short positions in the featured stock or index.